May 10 absentee ballot for overseas voters

Kerry 252   Bush 286  
Senate: Dem 51   GOP 49  
House: Dem 233   GOP 202  

 
Senate map with polls
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strong Dem Strong Dem (146)
weak Dem Weak Dem (37)
barely Dem Barely Dem (69)
tied Exactly tied (0)
barely GOP Barely GOP (37)
weak GOP Weak GOP (66)
strong GOP Strong GOP (183)
  Map algorithm explained
Presidential polls today: (None) RSS
Dem pickups (vs. 2004): (None)  
GOP pickups (vs. 2004): (None)  


News from the Votemaster

Here are the updated polls. Again, don't take them too seriously at this early stage of the game. To the extent they have much value, the ones to watch are the early states, especially Iowa and New Hampshire, as usual. Big wins by anyone in these states could have a massive effect on superduperTuesday, Feb. 5.

State Pollster End date Clinton Obama Edwards Giuliani McCain Romney
Alabama U. of South Alabama Apr. 19 33% 25% 12% 28% 23% 3%
Alabama Capital Survey Mar. 6 35% 19% 9% 28% 23% 3%
Alabama ARG Feb. 13 44% 13% 11% 31% 19% 3%
Alabama Capital Survey Jan. 17 27% 14% 19% 20% 24% 3%
 
Arizona Arizona State U. Apr. 22 25% 20% 18% 27% 32% 11%
Arizona Rocky Mtn Poll Mar. 21 27% 20% 9% 25% 34% 11%
Arizona Arizona State U. Feb. 25 28% 24% 14% 25% 44% 6%
Arizona ARG Feb. 13 33% 24% 13% 21% 45% 2%
Arizona Rocky Mtn Poll Jan. 22 32% 15% 18% 13% 40% 11%
 
Arkansas ARG Mar. 23 49% 16% 12% 12% 21% 4%
Arkansas ARG Mar. 19 49% 16% 12% 12% 21% 4%
 
California Field Poll Mar. 31 41% 28% 13% 36% 24% 7%
California SurveyUSA Mar. 6 44% 31% 10% 41% 23% 8%
California Datamar Feb. 15 34% 24% 16% 41% 17% 11%
California ARG Jan. 17 36% 33% 6% 33% 18% 3%
 
Colorado ARG Apr. 2 34% 23% 17% 25% 23% 9%
 
Connecticut Quinnipiac U. Feb. 12 33% 21% 5% 43% 27% 4%
Connecticut ARG Feb. 6 40% 8% 10% 32% 21% 14%
 
Delaware FDU Feb. 25 34% 19% 10% 0% 0% 0%
 
Florida Quinnipiac U. Apr. 24 36% 13% 11% 38% 15% 7%
Florida U. of North Florida Apr. 13 35% 20% 9% 31% 14% 6%
Florida Quinnipiac U. Mar. 27 36% 13% 11% 35% 15% 5%
Florida Quinnipiac U. Mar. 4 38% 13% 6% 38% 18% 6%
Florida Quinnipiac U. Feb. 4 49% 13% 7% 29% 23% 6%
Florida ARG Jan. 9 30% 14% 15% 30% 15% 2%
 
Illinois ARG Jan. 14 30% 36% 5% 33% 24% 12%
 
Iowa ARG Apr. 30 23% 19% 27% 19% 26% 14%
Iowa U. of Iowa Mar. 31 28% 19% 34% 21% 20% 17%
Iowa Zogby Mar. 26 25% 23% 27% 25% 19% 11%
Iowa ARG Mar. 23 34% 16% 33% 29% 29% 10%
Iowa ARG Mar. 22 34% 33% 16% 29% 29% 10%
Iowa Zogby Feb. 9 24% 24% 18% 19% 17% 5%
Iowa Zogby Jan. 16 16% 27% 17% 19% 17% 5%
 
Maine ARG Feb. 6 41% 14% 17% 33% 22% 13%
 
Massachusetts ARG Feb. 6 35% 24% 19% 29% 30% 7%
 
Michigan EPIC/MRA Mar. 18 45% 29% 16% 26% 30% 21%
Michigan ARG Mar. 4 35% 30% 14% 30% 35% 0%
Michigan EPIC/MRA Feb. 4 49% 20% 8% 32% 28% 8%
Michigan ARG Jan. 7 30% 30% 17% 34% 24% 10%
 
Missouri ARG Jan. 9 30% 18% 17% 18% 31% 2%
 
Nevada Zogby Apr. 12 35% 21% 15% 37% 15% 15%
Nevada Research 2000 Mar. 8 32% 20% 11% 38% 18% 4%
 
New Hampshire ARG Apr. 29 37% 14% 26% 17% 29% 24%
New Hampshire Zogby Apr. 3 29% 23% 23% 19% 25% 25%
New Hampshire U. of New Hampshire Apr. 3 27% 20% 21% 29% 29% 17%
New Hampshire ARG Mar. 23 37% 23% 20% 19% 23% 17%
New Hampshire Franklin Pierce Coll. Mar. 12 32% 25% 16% 28% 29% 22%
New Hampshire Suffolk U. Feb. 28 28% 26% 17% 37% 27% 17%
New Hampshire Zogby/UNH Feb. 8 27% 23% 13% 27% 28% 13%
New Hampshire Zogby Jan. 17 19% 19% 23% 20% 26% 13%
 
New Jersey Monmouth U. Apr. 16 41% 22% 13% 49% 19% 6%
New Jersey Quinnipiac U. Apr. 16 38% 16% 9% 49% 18% 6%
New Jersey FDU Mar. 4 46% 18% 10% 59% 20% 6%
New Jersey Quinnipiac U. Feb. 25 41% 19% 5% 58% 15% 2%
New Jersey Quinnipiac U. Jan. 22 30% 8% 16% 39% 21% 5%
 
New Mexico ARG Jan. 13 22% 17% 12% 38% 20% 7%
 
New York Siena Coll. Apr. 20 39% 17% 11% 47% 16% 8%
New York Blum+Weprin Apr. 7 49% 17% 11% 56% 15% 5%
New York ARG Apr. 2 41% 20% 16% 50% 14% 7%
New York Quinnipiac U. Apr. 2 44% 14% 9% 52% 13% 6%
New York Siena Coll. Mar. 22 43% 11% 7% 31% 20% 6%
New York Quinnipiac U. Feb. 11 47% 16% 7% 51% 17% 1%
 
North Carolina Elon U. Apr. 19 20% 20% 26% 32% 22% 10%
North Carolina ARG Jan. 15 26% 19% 30% 34% 26% 2%
 
Ohio Quinnipiac U. Apr. 24 37% 14% 17% 23% 21% 6%
Ohio Quinnipiac U. Mar. 19 32% 22% 11% 31% 20% 6%
Ohio Quinnipiac U. Mar. 4 32% 19% 13% 35% 18% 3%
Ohio U. of Akron Feb. 21 42% 16% 17% 36% 28% 6%
Ohio Quinnipiac U. Jan. 28 38% 11% 13% 30% 22% 4%
 
Oklahoma ARG Feb. 13 40% 15% 16% 37% 21% 2%
 
Oregon Riley Research Mar. 13 31% 21% 8% 33% 20% 5%
 
Pennsylvania Quinnipiac U. Apr. 24 36% 14% 13% 29% 17% 5%
Pennsylvania Quinnipiac U. Mar. 25 36% 17% 9% 33% 18% 5%
Pennsylvania Quinnipiac U. Mar. 4 29% 18% 11% 43% 17% 6%
Pennsylvania Susquehanna Feb. 20 42% 16% 11% 37% 29% 6%
Pennsylvania Quinnipiac U. Feb. 5 37% 11% 11% 30% 20% 4%
Pennsylvania ARG Jan. 8 32% 12% 13% 35% 25% 1%
 
Rhode Island Brown U. Jan. 27 33% 8% 15% 0% 0% 0%
 
South Carolina ARG Apr. 30 36% 24% 18% 23% 36% 6%
South Carolina Hamilton/McHenry Apr. 19 31% 27% 16% 15% 24% 10%
South Carolina Zogby Apr. 17 33% 26% 21% 19% 22% 10%
South Carolina ARG Feb. 27 36% 25% 20% 29% 35% 5%
 
Texas ARG Mar. 19 34% 32% 11% 30% 20% 13%
 
Utah ARG Feb. 13 31% 18% 9% 13% 21% 40%
 
Vermont ARG Feb. 6 37% 19% 14% 29% 30% 7%
 
West Virginia ARG Apr. 2 37% 22% 19% 29% 33% 8%
 
Wisconsin St. Norbert Coll. Apr. 17 33% 30% 18% 26% 24% 9%

This page is the prototype for 2008. The data and map will refer to previous elections until serious polls begin in 2008. The blog will be updated when there is interesting news about the 2008 races.

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