Mar. 22

Wyoming (3 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 29% Bush: 69% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 29%, Bush 69% Wisconsin (10 EVs) Barely Democrat Kerry: 50% Bush: 49% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 50%, Bush 49% West Virginia (5 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 43% Bush: 56% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 43%, Bush 56% Washington (11 EVs) Weak Democrat Kerry: 53% Bush: 46% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 53%, Bush 46% Virginia (13 EVs) Weak Republican Kerry: 45% Bush: 54% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 45%, Bush 54% Vermont (3 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 59% Bush: 39% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 59%, Bush 39% Vermont (3 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 59% Bush: 39% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 59%, Bush 39% Utah (5 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 26% Bush: 71% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 26%, Bush 71% Texas (34 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 38% Bush: 61% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 38%, Bush 61% Tennessee (11 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 43% Bush: 57% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 43%, Bush 57% South Dakota (3 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 38% Bush: 60% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 38%, Bush 60% South Carolina (8 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 41% Bush: 58% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 41%, Bush 58% Rhode Island (4 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 60% Bush: 39% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 60%, Bush 39% Rhode Island (4 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 60% Bush: 39% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 60%, Bush 39% Pennsylvania (21 EVs) Barely Democrat Kerry: 51% Bush: 49% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 51%, Bush 49% Oregon (7 EVs) Barely Democrat Kerry: 52% Bush: 48% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 52%, Bush 48% Oklahoma (7 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 34% Bush: 66% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 34%, Bush 66% Ohio (20 EVs) Barely Republican Kerry: 49% Bush: 51% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 49%, Bush 51% North Dakota (3 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 36% Bush: 63% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 36%, Bush 63% North Carolina (15 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 44% Bush: 56% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 44%, Bush 56% New York (31 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 58% Bush: 41% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 58%, Bush 41% New Mexico (5 EVs) Barely Republican Kerry: 49% Bush: 50% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 49%, Bush 50% New Jersey (15 EVs) Weak Democrat Kerry: 53% Bush: 47% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 53%, Bush 47% New Jersey (15 EVs) Weak Democrat Kerry: 53% Bush: 47% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 53%, Bush 47% New Hampshire (4 EVs) Barely Democrat Kerry: 50% Bush: 49% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 50%, Bush 49% New Hampshire (4 EVs) Barely Democrat Kerry: 50% Bush: 49% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 50%, Bush 49% Nevada (5 EVs) Barely Republican Kerry: 48% Bush: 51% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 48%, Bush 51% Nebraska (5 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 32% Bush: 67% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 32%, Bush 67% Montana (3 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 39% Bush: 59% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 39%, Bush 59% Missouri (11 EVs) Weak Republican Kerry: 46% Bush: 53% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 46%, Bush 53% Mississippi (6 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 40% Bush: 60% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 40%, Bush 60% Minnesota (10 EVs) Barely Democrat Kerry: 51% Bush: 48% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 51%, Bush 48% Michigan (17 EVs) Barely Democrat Kerry: 51% Bush: 48% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 51%, Bush 48% Massachusetts (12 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 62% Bush: 37% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 62%, Bush 37% Massachusetts (12 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 62% Bush: 37% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 62%, Bush 37% Maryland (10 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 56% Bush: 43% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 56%, Bush 43% Maryland (10 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 56% Bush: 43% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 56%, Bush 43% Maine (4 EVs) Weak Democrat Kerry: 53% Bush: 45% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 53%, Bush 45% Louisiana (9 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 42% Bush: 57% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 42%, Bush 57% Kentucky (8 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 40% Bush: 60% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 40%, Bush 60% Kansas (6 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 37% Bush: 62% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 37%, Bush 62% Iowa (7 EVs) Barely Republican Kerry: 49% Bush: 50% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 49%, Bush 50% Indiana (11 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 39% Bush: 60% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 39%, Bush 60% Illinois (21 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 55% Bush: 45% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 55%, Bush 45% Idaho (4 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 30% Bush: 69% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 30%, Bush 69% Hawaii (4 EVs) Weak Democrat Kerry: 54% Bush: 45% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 54%, Bush 45% Georgia (15 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 41% Bush: 58% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 41%, Bush 58% Florida (27 EVs) Weak Republican Kerry: 47% Bush: 52% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 47%, Bush 52% Delaware (3 EVs) Weak Democrat Kerry: 53% Bush: 46% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 53%, Bush 46% Delaware (3 EVs) Weak Democrat Kerry: 53% Bush: 46% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 53%, Bush 46% D.C. (3 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 90% Bush: 9% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 90%, Bush 9% D.C. (3 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 90% Bush: 9% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 90%, Bush 9% Connecticut (7 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 54% Bush: 44% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 54%, Bush 44% Connecticut (7 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 54% Bush: 44% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 54%, Bush 44% Colorado (9 EVs) Weak Republican Kerry: 47% Bush: 52% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 47%, Bush 52% California (55 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 55% Bush: 44% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 55%, Bush 44% Arkansas (6 EVs) Weak Republican Kerry: 45% Bush: 54% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 45%, Bush 54% Arizona (10 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 45% Bush: 55% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 45%, Bush 55% Alaska (3 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 35% Bush: 62% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 35%, Bush 62% Alabama (9 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 37% Bush: 63% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 37%, Bush 63%

Senate map with polls Downloadable polling data Previous report Next report News Strong Dem (146) Weak Dem (37) Barely Dem (69) Exactly tied (0) Barely GOP (37) Weak GOP (66) Strong GOP (183)   Map algorithm explained

Presidential polls today:	(None)
Dem pickups (vs. 2004):	(None)
GOP pickups (vs. 2004):	(None)

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News from the Votemaster

Charlie Cook has a great piece about the lack of experience of some of the top candidates. He points out that Barack Obama is only two years removed from the Illinois state Senate and has never had a serious opponent, let alone Karl Rove. Cook also raises questions about Obama's voting record in Illinois (especially on abortion), questions that will hound him when the honeymoon with the voters ends.

He goes on to point out that Rudy Giuliani has more baggage than a Samsonite warehouse. Between his marriage to his cousin, annulment, affairs, second marriage and divorce, and third marriage, plus liberal social views, is that going to fly in the South? No, according to a top official of the Southern Baptist Convention. In addition, a close inspection of 9/11 is going to be painful. The firefighters hate him because he refused to spend the money on radios that would have saved many firefighters' lives and they are not at all ashamed of bringing up this subject.

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