Projected New Senate: 50 Democrats 50 Republicans

	Strong Dem (43)
	Weak Dem (4)
	Barely Dem (3)
	Exactly tied (0)
	Barely GOP (1)
	Weak GOP (2)
	Strong GOP (47)
	No Senate race
	Map algorithm explained

Sep. 20	New polls:	AZ CA CT NM RI
	Pickups:	Missouri Montana New Jersey Ohio Pennsylvania Rhode Island Tennessee

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News from the Votemaster

In Connecticut, Ned Lamont is closing in on Joe Lieberman. According to Rasmussen, Lieberman's lead has been cut to 2%, 45% to 43%. Schlesinger is stuck at 5% and going nowhere.

In Arizona, Jim Pederson is also closing in on incumbent Sen. Jon Kyl (R-AZ). Kyl now leads by only 48% to 43%. He had been ahead by double digits before. Still, Kyl has led the entire year and is still favored.

In Rhode Island, a different poll puts the gap between Sheldon Whitehouse (D) and newly-nominated incumbent Sen. Lincoln Chafee (R-RI) at a mere 1%, 40% to 39%. This Brown University poll is quite different from yesterday's Rasmussen poll, which had Whitehouse up by 8%.

In New Mexico, incumbent Sen. Jeff Bingaman is trouncing urologist Alan McCullough 56% to 32%.

Over in the House, incumbent Chris Chocola (R-IN-02) is in trouble. Challenger Joe Donnelly is now leading by a margin of 50% to 42%, and this is a very red state. Likewise, in Kentucky, incumbent Geoff Davis (R-KY-04) is now trailing his Democratic challenger by 48% to 44%. In New Hampshire, incumbent Charlie Bass (R-NH-01) has a solid lead over challenger Paul Hodes, 56% to 31%.

That most liberal of states, Massachusetts, has put its money where its mouth is. Yesterday it had a primary election and the candidates for governor are a black man, Deval Patrick (D), and a white woman, Kerry Healey (R):


Deval Patrick (D)		Kerry Healey (R)

In the old days, women only got to be governor when their governor husbands died. Nowadays they can make it on their own. Currently the nation has eight women governors:


Kathleen Blanco (D-LA)	Jennifer Granholm (D-MI)	Christine Gregoire (D-WA)	Linda Lingle (R-HI)	Ruth Minner (D-DE)	Janet Napolitano (D-AZ)	Jodi Rell (R-CT)	Kathleen Sibelius (D-KS)

There are no African-American governors at present although Doug Wilder (D) was governor of Virginia 1990-1994. If Patrick wins, not unlikely in this bluest of states (all 10 members of the House delegation and both senators are Democrats), he will not be the first high ranking African American elected in Massachusetts. Ed Brooke (R-MA) was U.S. senator from 1967 to 1979.

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-- The Votemaster