Projected New Senate: 48 Democrats 50 Republicans 2 ties

	Strong Dem (42)
	Weak Dem (5)
	Barely Dem (1)
	Exactly tied (2)
	Barely GOP (1)
	Weak GOP (1)
	Strong GOP (48)
	No Senate race
	Map algorithm explained

Aug. 25	New polls:	CT PA
	Pickups:	Ohio Pennsylvania Rhode Island

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News from the Votemaster

A new Keystone poll in Pennsylvania shows the race there tightening, as incumbent Sen. Rick Santorum (R-PA) is fighting for his political life against state treasurer Bob Casey. Casey has been ahead by double digits all year. Santorum has begun running negative campaign ads on TV and the gap has dropped to 5%, 44% to 39%. While a huge majority of voters say they hate negative ads, the reality is that they work. If voters REALLY want to get rid of negative ads, the way is to ignore the content of the ads and vote against the candidate running them.

Connecticut is still a statistical tie, with Lieberman ahead of Lamont by just 2%.

The Washington Post has a column by Dana Milbank today on Sen. George "Macaca: Allen (R-VA) and the fallout from his using a racist slur against an Indian-American last week and his welcoming the young man to America (who, unknown to Allen, was born in Virginia). While Allen apologizes every chance he gets, his campaign manager blames the media rather than the candidate for the fuss. To make sure this type of problem does not surface again, Allen has taken to speaking to closed audiences where the press and opponents are not allowed in. Welcome to America.

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-- The Votemaster