State-by-State Margins Sept. 23
The numbers in the table tell who is leading and by how much. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the lead will be shown as 3%. When this lead is 5% or less, the race is essentially a tie.
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Strong Kerry (≥10%)
D.C.* 67% Massachusetts 37% Rhode Island 18% New York 16% Illinois 15% Connecticut 15% California 15% Oregon 12% Vermont 10% Hawaii 10% |
Weak Kerry (5-9%)
Washington 9% Delaware* 9% Michigan 8% |
Barely Kerry (<5%)
New Jersey 4% Minnesota 4% Maine 4% Pennsylvania 1% Florida 1% |
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Strong Bush (≥10%)
Utah 37% Wyoming* 36% Oklahoma 31% Nebraska* 31% North Dakota* 29% Idaho 29% Montana 28% Alaska 27% Texas 22% Kansas 22% Georgia 20% South Dakota 19% Kentucky 15% Indiana 15% Wisconsin 14% Alabama 14% South Carolina 12% Colorado 12% |
Weak Bush (5-9%)
West Virginia 9% Mississippi 9% Louisiana 8% Tennessee 7% Missouri 6% North Carolina 5% |
Barely Bush (<5%)
New Mexico 4% Virginia 3% Arkansas 3% Ohio 2% New Hampshire 2% Nevada 2% Iowa 2% Arizona 1% |
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