State-by-State Margins Sept. 18
The numbers in the table tell who is leading and by how much. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the lead will be shown as 3%. When this lead is 5% or less, the race is essentially a tie.
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Strong Kerry (≥10%)
D.C.* 77% Massachusetts 37% Rhode Island 28% Illinois 15% Delaware* 13% California 11% Vermont 10% New Mexico 10% Hawaii 10% |
Weak Kerry (5-9%)
Maryland 9% New York 8% Washington 7% Michigan 7% Connecticut 7% New Hampshire 5% |
Barely Kerry (<5%)
Minnesota 4% Maine 4% Oregon 2% |
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Strong Bush (≥10%)
Utah 37% Wyoming* 36% Nebraska* 31% Mississippi 31% Oklahoma 30% North Dakota* 29% Idaho 29% Montana 28% Alaska 27% Kansas 25% Texas 24% Indiana 24% Georgia 20% South Dakota 19% Kentucky 18% Louisiana 17% Arizona 16% North Carolina 13% South Carolina 12% Alabama 11% |
Weak Bush (5-9%)
West Virginia 9% Tennessee 9% Missouri 7% Wisconsin 6% Florida 6% Virginia 5% |
Barely Bush (<5%)
New Jersey 4% Nevada 4% Ohio 3% Pennsylvania 2% Iowa 2% Arkansas 2% Colorado 1% |
* No state polls have been conducted in DC and DE. so the 2000 results are used. DC and DE are solid Democratic; the rest are solid Republican.
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