State-by-State Margins Sept. 16
The numbers in the table tell who is leading and by how much. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the lead will be shown as 3%. When this lead is 5% or less, the race is essentially a tie.
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Strong Kerry (≥10%)
D.C.* 77% Massachusetts 26% Rhode Island 24% Vermont 15% Delaware* 13% Maryland 11% New Mexico 10% California 10% |
Weak Kerry (5-9%)
Minnesota 9% Washington 8% New York 8% Hawaii 7% Connecticut 7% Michigan 6% New Hampshire 5% |
Barely Kerry (<5%)
Iowa 4% Illinois 4% Oregon 3% Colorado 1% |
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Strong Bush (≥10%)
Wyoming* 40% Utah 40% Mississippi 31% Oklahoma 30% Idaho 30% Nebraska* 29% North Dakota* 28% Kansas 25% Texas 24% Indiana 24% Alaska 23% Georgia 22% Montana 20% Louisiana 17% Kentucky 17% Arizona 16% South Dakota 13% South Carolina 12% Ohio 12% Alabama 11% North Carolina 10% |
Weak Bush (5-9%)
West Virginia 9% Tennessee 9% Wisconsin 6% Florida 6% Virginia 5% |
Barely Bush (<5%)
New Jersey 4% Nevada 4% Missouri 2% Arkansas 2% Pennsylvania 1% |
* No state polls have been conducted in DC, DE, ND, NE, and WY, so the 2000 results are used. DC and DE are solid Democratic; the rest are solid Republican.
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