State-by-State Margins Sept. 4
The numbers in the table tell who is leading and by how much. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the lead will be shown as 3%. When this lead is 5% or less, the race is essentially a tie.
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Strong Kerry (≥10%)
D.C.* 77% Massachusetts 26% Rhode Island 24% New York 19% Vermont 15% Illinois 14% Delaware* 13% Oregon 11% Maryland 11% New Jersey 10% |
Weak Kerry (5-9%)
California 9% New Hampshire 8% Michigan 8% Hawaii 7% Connecticut 7% New Mexico 6% Washington 5% Maine 5% |
Barely Kerry (<5%)
Wisconsin 4% Tennessee 2% Nevada 2% Minnesota 1% |
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Strong Bush (≥10%)
Utah 45% Wyoming* 40% Mississippi 31% Idaho 30% Nebraska* 29% North Dakota* 28% Texas 24% Alaska 23% Montana 20% Kansas 20% Alabama 20% Oklahoma 19% Kentucky 17% Georgia 17% Louisiana 16% South Dakota 14% Indiana 12% South Carolina 11% |
Weak Bush (5-9%)
West Virginia 7% Ohio 6% North Carolina 6% |
Barely Bush (<5%)
Virginia 4% Missouri 4% Florida 4% Arizona 3% Pennsylvania 1% Arkansas 1% |
* No state polls have been conducted in DC, DE, ND, NE, and WY, so the 2000 results are used. DC and DE are solid Democratic; the rest are solid Republican.
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