State-by-State Margins Oct. 24


The numbers in the table tell who is leading and by how much. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the lead will be shown as 3%. When this lead is 5% or less, the race is essentially a tie.

Strong Kerry (≥10%)
D.C. 67%
New York 21%
Rhode Island 20%
Massachusetts 14%
Vermont 13%
Maryland 10%
Weak Kerry (5-9%)
Connecticut 9%
California 9%
New Jersey 8%
Illinois 8%
Delaware 7%
Ohio 6%
Michigan 6%
Maine 6%
Washington 5%
Barely Kerry (<5%)
Oregon 4%
Pennsylvania 2%
New Mexico 2%
New Hampshire 2%
Strong Bush (≥10%)
Utah 37%
Wyoming 36%
Nebraska 31%
Oklahoma 30%
Idaho 29%
Alaska 27%
Texas 23%
Tennessee 22%
Kentucky 22%
Montana 21%
North Dakota 20%
Kansas 19%
Georgia 17%
Louisiana 15%
South Carolina 13%
Indiana 13%
Alabama 12%
South Dakota 10%
Weak Bush (5-9%)
Mississippi 9%
North Carolina 8%
Colorado 7%
Arizona 7%
Missouri 5%
Arkansas 5%
Barely Bush (<5%)
Iowa 4%
Wisconsin 3%
West Virginia 3%
Virginia 3%
Nevada 2%
Minnesota 2%
States that are exactly tied: Florida Hawaii
Back to the main page Previous report

If you like this website, please link to it to improve its Google PageRank and tell your friends about it.