State-by-State Margins Oct. 16
The numbers in the table tell who is leading and by how much. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the lead will be shown as 3%. When this lead is 5% or less, the race is essentially a tie.
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Strong Kerry (≥10%)
D.C. 67% New York 23% Rhode Island 20% Illinois 16% Maryland 15% Massachusetts 14% Vermont 13% Hawaii 10% |
Weak Kerry (5-9%)
Connecticut 9% Michigan 8% California 8% Delaware 7% Washington 5% Oregon 5% |
Barely Kerry (<5%)
New Jersey 2% Minnesota 2% Maine 2% Pennsylvania 1% Nevada 1% |
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Strong Bush (≥10%)
Utah 37% Wyoming 36% Oklahoma 34% Nebraska 31% North Dakota 29% Idaho 29% Alaska 27% Alabama 24% Texas 23% Montana 21% Tennessee 19% Kentucky 19% Kansas 19% South Carolina 13% Indiana 13% South Dakota 10% Georgia 10% |
Weak Bush (5-9%)
Mississippi 9% Ohio 8% Louisiana 8% Colorado 8% North Carolina 7% West Virginia 6% Wisconsin 5% Arizona 5% |
Barely Bush (<5%)
Virginia 3% Missouri 2% New Mexico 1% Arkansas 1% |
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