State-by-State Margins Oct. 4
The numbers in the table tell who is leading and by how much. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the lead will be shown as 3%. When this lead is 5% or less, the race is essentially a tie.
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Strong Kerry (≥10%)
D.C.* 67% Massachusetts 37% Rhode Island 18% California 13% New York 12% Vermont 10% Hawaii 10% |
Weak Kerry (5-9%)
Illinois 9% Connecticut 9% New Jersey 8% Delaware* 7% Michigan 6% |
Barely Kerry (<5%)
Pennsylvania 4% Maryland 3% Maine 3% Oregon 2% Washington 1% Minnesota 1% |
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Strong Bush (≥10%)
Utah 37% Alabama 37% Wyoming* 36% Oklahoma 34% Nebraska* 31% North Dakota* 29% Idaho 29% Georgia 25% Kansas 22% Texas 21% South Carolina 18% Montana 18% Alaska 16% Kentucky 15% Indiana 13% South Dakota 12% |
Weak Bush (5-9%)
West Virginia 9% North Carolina 9% Mississippi 9% Arkansas 9% Arizona 9% Louisiana 8% Wisconsin 7% Missouri 7% Virginia 6% Tennessee 6% Florida 5% |
Barely Bush (<5%)
New Mexico 4% Nevada 4% Iowa 4% Colorado 4% Ohio 3% |
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