State-by-State Margins June 25
The numbers in the table below give the margins between the candidates. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the margin will be shown as 3%. The margin of error in most polls is about 3%, so when the margin is 3% or less, the race is essentially a tie.
|
Strong Kerry (≥10%)
D.C.* 80% Massachusetts 24% Rhode Island 22% New York 19% Maine 19% Hawaii* 19% Vermont 15% Maryland 14% Illinois 13% Delaware* 13% California 12% Connecticut 10% |
Weak Kerry (5-9%)
Washington 7% Oregon 7% New Mexico 7% Pennsylvania 6% Ohio 6% New Jersey 6% Wisconsin 5% Minnesota 5% |
Barely Kerry (<5%)
New Hampshire 3% Iowa 2% Arkansas 2% Florida 1% |
|
Strong Bush (≥10%)
Utah 45% Wyoming* 40% Alaska* 31% Idaho* 30% Nebraska* 29% North Dakota* 28% Indiana 21% Texas 20% Montana 20% Oklahoma 19% Alabama 19% Tennessee 18% Kansas 18% Mississippi* 17% Georgia 17% South Dakota 16% Kentucky 13% South Carolina 10% |
Weak Bush (5-9%)
West Virginia 6% North Carolina 6% Louisiana 6% Colorado 5% |
Barely Bush (<5%)
Arizona 3% Virginia 2% Nevada 2% Michigan 2% Missouri 1% |
* No state polls have been conducted in AK, DC, DL, HI, MS, ND, NE, and WY, so the 2000 results are used. DC, DL, and HI are solid Democratic; the rest are solid Republican.
| Back to the main page | Previous report |
If you like this website, please link to it to improve its Google PageRank and tell your friends about it.
