State-by-State Margins Aug. 12
The numbers in the table below give the margins between the candidates. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the margin will be shown as 3%. The margin of error in most polls is about 3%, so when the margin is 3% or less, the race is essentially a tie.
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Strong Kerry (≥10%)
D.C.* 77% Massachusetts 26% Rhode Island 24% New York 22% New Jersey 20% Connecticut 18% Vermont 15% Illinois 15% Maryland 14% Delaware* 13% California 11% |
Weak Kerry (5-9%)
Washington 8% Pennsylvania 8% New Mexico 7% New Hampshire 7% Michigan 7% Hawaii 7% Florida 7% |
Barely Kerry (<5%)
West Virginia 4% Oregon 4% Maine 4% Minnesota 2% Iowa 2% Wisconsin 1% Missouri 1% |
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Strong Bush (≥10%)
Utah 45% Wyoming* 40% Mississippi 31% Idaho 30% Nebraska* 29% North Dakota* 28% Alaska 23% Alabama 22% Oklahoma 20% Montana 20% Kansas 20% Indiana 19% Texas 18% South Dakota 16% Louisiana 16% Georgia 11% Kentucky 10% |
Weak Bush (5-9%)
South Carolina 7% North Carolina 7% Ohio 5% Colorado 5% |
Barely Bush (<5%)
Virginia 3% Arizona 3% Tennessee 2% Arkansas 2% Nevada 1% |
* No state polls have been conducted in DC, DE, ND, NE, and WY, so the 2000 results are used. DC and DE are solid Democratic; the rest are solid Republican.
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