Electoral Vote Predictor 2004:   Kerry 307   Bush 227

Wyoming (3 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 28% Bush: 68% Nader: 2% Source: 2000 Election (no poll in 2004) 2000: Gore: 28.3%, Bush 69.2%, Nader 2.0% Wisconsin (10 EVs) Barely Bush Kerry: 42% Bush: 44% Nader: 4% Source: LA Times (Jun 8) 2000: Gore: 47.8%, Bush 47.6%, Nader 3.6% West Virginia (5 EVs) Weak Kerry Kerry: 47% Bush: 41% Source: Mason-Dixon (May 28) 2000: Gore: 45.6%, Bush 51.9% Washington (11 EVs) Weak Kerry Kerry: 49% Bush: 44% Nader: 3% Source: Survey USA (Jun 3) 2000: Gore: 50.2%, Bush 44.6%, Nader 4.1% Virginia (13 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 33% Bush: 51% Source: Rasmussen (Nov 03) 2000: Gore: 44.5%, Bush 52.5% Vermont (3 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 51% Bush: 36% Nader: 4% Source: Research 2000 (May 5) 2000: Gore: 50.7%, Bush 40.8%, Nader 6.9% Vermont (3 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 51% Bush: 36% Nader: 4% Source: Research 2000 (May 5) 2000: Gore: 50.7%, Bush 40.8%, Nader 6.9% Utah (5 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 22% Bush: 67% Nader: 3% Source: Dan Jones (May 13) 2000: Gore: 26.5%, Bush 67.2%, Nader 4.7% Texas (34 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 38% Bush: 58% Nader: 3% Source: Rasmussen (May 31) 2000: Gore: 38.0%, Bush 59.3%, Nader 2.2% Tennessee (11 EVs) Barely Bush Kerry: 47% Bush: 49% Nader: 1% Source: Zogby (May 23) 2000: Gore: 47.3%, Bush 51.2%, Nader 1.0% South Dakota (3 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 35% Bush: 51% Nader: 4% Source: Zogby (May 21) 2000: Gore: 37.6%, Bush 60.3%, Nader 0.0% South Carolina (8 EVs) Barely Bush Kerry: 43% Bush: 45% Source: PollingReport.com (Jan 4) 2000: Gore: 40.9%, Bush 56.9% Rhode Island (4 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 53% Bush: 31% Source: Rhode Island College (Feb 4) 2000: Gore: 61.0%, Bush 31.9% Rhode Island (4 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 53% Bush: 31% Source: Rhode Island College (Feb 4) 2000: Gore: 61.0%, Bush 31.9% Pennsylvania (21 EVs) Barely Kerry Kerry: 44% Bush: 41% Nader: 6% Source: Survey USA (May 25) 2000: Gore: 50.6%, Bush 46.4%, Nader 2.1% Oregon (7 EVs) Weak Kerry Kerry: 44% Bush: 39% Nader: 4% Source: Moore Information (Jun 1) 2000: Gore: 47.1%, Bush 46.6%, Nader 5.1% Oklahoma (7 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 34% Bush: 53% Source: Wilson Research (May 19) 2000: Gore: 38.4%, Bush 60.3% Ohio (20 EVs) Barely Kerry Kerry: 45% Bush: 42% Nader: 4% Source: LA Times (Jun 8) 2000: Gore: 46.4%, Bush 50.0%, Nader 2.5% North Dakota (3 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 33% Bush: 61% Nader: 3% Source: 2000 Election (no poll in 2004) 2000: Gore: 33.1%, Bush 60.7%, Nader 3.3% North Carolina (15 EVs) Weak Bush Kerry: 41% Bush: 48% Nader: 3% Source: Mason-Dixon (May 17) 2000: Gore: 43.1%, Bush 56.0%, Nader 0.0% New York (31 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 51% Bush: 32% Nader: 1% Source: Siena Coll. Res. Inst. (Apr 22) 2000: Gore: 60.2%, Bush 35.2%, Nader 3.6% New Mexico (5 EVs) Weak Kerry Kerry: 48% Bush: 43% Nader: 3% Source: Zogby (May 23) 2000: Gore: 47.9%, Bush 47.8%, Nader 3.6% New Jersey (15 EVs) Barely Kerry Kerry: 46% Bush: 43% Nader: 5% Source: Quinnipiac Univ. (May 16) 2000: Gore: 56.1%, Bush 40.3%, Nader 3.0% New Jersey (15 EVs) Barely Kerry Kerry: 46% Bush: 43% Nader: 5% Source: Quinnipiac Univ. (May 16) 2000: Gore: 56.1%, Bush 40.3%, Nader 3.0% New Hampshire (4 EVs) Tied Kerry: 46% Bush: 46% Nader: 2% Source: American Res. Group (Jun 9) 2000: Gore: 46.9%, Bush 48.2%, Nader 3.9% New Hampshire (4 EVs) Tied Kerry: 46% Bush: 46% Nader: 2% Source: American Res. Group (Jun 9) 2000: Gore: 46.9%, Bush 48.2%, Nader 3.9% Nevada (5 EVs) Barely Kerry Kerry: 47% Bush: 44% Nader: 3% Source: Zogby (May 23) 2000: Gore: 46.2%, Bush 49.8%, Nader 2.5% Nebraska (5 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 33% Bush: 62% Nader: 4% Source: 2000 Election (no poll in 2004) 2000: Gore: 33.2%, Bush 62.2%, Nader 3.5% Montana (3 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 33% Bush: 53% Nader: 6% Source: Mason-Dixon (May 26) 2000: Gore: 33.4%, Bush 58.4%, Nader 5.9% Missouri (11 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 37% Bush: 48% Nader: 5% Source: LA Times (Jun 8) 2000: Gore: 47.1%, Bush 50.4%, Nader 1.6% Mississippi (6 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 41% Bush: 58% Nader: 1% Source: 2000 Election (no poll in 2004) 2000: Gore: 40.7%, Bush 57.6%, Nader 0.8% Minnesota (10 EVs) Barely Kerry Kerry: 44% Bush: 41% Nader: 2% Source: Zogby (May 26) 2000: Gore: 47.9%, Bush 45.5%, Nader 5.2% Michigan (17 EVs) Barely Kerry Kerry: 45% Bush: 43% Nader: 3% Source: EPIC/MRA (Jun 6) 2000: Gore: 51.3%, Bush 46.1%, Nader 2.0% Massachusetts (12 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 54% Bush: 30% Nader: 5% Source: Univ. of Mass. (May 6) 2000: Gore: 59.9%, Bush 32.5%, Nader 6.4% Massachusetts (12 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 54% Bush: 30% Nader: 5% Source: Univ. of Mass. (May 6) 2000: Gore: 59.9%, Bush 32.5%, Nader 6.4% Maryland (10 EVs) Weak Kerry Kerry: 48% Bush: 43% Source: Gonzales Res. (Mar 24) 2000: Gore: 56.6%, Bush 40.2% Maryland (10 EVs) Weak Kerry Kerry: 48% Bush: 43% Source: Gonzales Res. (Mar 24) 2000: Gore: 56.6%, Bush 40.2% Maine (4 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 51% Bush: 38% Nader: 4% Source: Other (Mar 3) 2000: Gore: 49.1%, Bush 44.0%, Nader 5.7% Louisiana (9 EVs) Weak Bush Kerry: 42% Bush: 48% Source: Market Research (May 26) 2000: Gore: 44.9%, Bush 52.6% Kentucky (8 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 39% Bush: 52% Source: Survey USA (Jun 8) 2000: Gore: 41.3%, Bush 56.4% Kansas (6 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 39% Bush: 57% Source: Survey USA (Mar 4) 2000: Gore: 37.2%, Bush 58.0% Iowa (7 EVs) Barely Kerry Kerry: 46% Bush: 42% Nader: 3% Source: Zogby (May 25) 2000: Gore: 48.6%, Bush 48.3%, Nader 2.2% Indiana (11 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 33% Bush: 54% Nader: 6% Source: Selzer &Co. (May 19) 2000: Gore: 41.0%, Bush 56.6%, Nader 0.8% Illinois (21 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 54% Bush: 38% Nader: 1% Source: Survey USA (May 24) 2000: Gore: 54.6%, Bush 42.6%, Nader 2.2% Idaho (4 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 28% Bush: 67% Nader: 2% Source: 2000 Election (no poll in 2004) 2000: Gore: 27.6%, Bush 67.2%, Nader 2.5% Hawaii (4 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 56% Bush: 37% Nader: 6% Source: 2000 Election (no poll in 2004) 2000: Gore: 55.8%, Bush 37.5%, Nader 5.9% Georgia (15 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 39% Bush: 51% Nader: 1% Source: Rasmussen (May 31) 2000: Gore: 43.2%, Bush 55.0%, Nader 0.0% Florida (27 EVs) Barely Kerry Kerry: 49% Bush: 48% Nader: 1% Source: Zogby (May 23) 2000: Gore: 48.8%, Bush 48.8%, Nader 1.6% D.C. (3 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 86% Bush: 9% Nader: 5% Source: 2000 Election (no poll in 2004) 2000: Gore: 85.7%, Bush 9.0%, Nader 5.3% D.C. (3 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 86% Bush: 9% Nader: 5% Source: 2000 Election (no poll in 2004) 2000: Gore: 85.7%, Bush 9.0%, Nader 5.3% Delaware (3 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 55% Bush: 42% Nader: 3% Source: 2000 Election (no poll in 2004) 2000: Gore: 55.0%, Bush 41.9%, Nader 2.5% Delaware (3 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 55% Bush: 42% Nader: 3% Source: 2000 Election (no poll in 2004) 2000: Gore: 55.0%, Bush 41.9%, Nader 2.5% Connecticut (7 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 46% Bush: 36% Nader: 8% Source: Quinnipiac Univ. (Jun 1) 2000: Gore: 55.9%, Bush 38.4%, Nader 4.4% Connecticut (7 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 46% Bush: 36% Nader: 8% Source: Quinnipiac Univ. (Jun 1) 2000: Gore: 55.9%, Bush 38.4%, Nader 4.4% Colorado (9 EVs) Weak Bush Kerry: 40% Bush: 49% Nader: 4% Source: Public Opinion Strat. (Apr 1) 2000: Gore: 42.4%, Bush 50.8%, Nader 5.3% California (55 EVs) Strong Kerry Kerry: 51% Bush: 39% Nader: 4% Source: Field Poll (May 24) 2000: Gore: 53.4%, Bush 41.7%, Nader 3.8% Arkansas (6 EVs) Barely Bush Kerry: 45% Bush: 49% Nader: 1% Source: Zogby (May 23) 2000: Gore: 45.9%, Bush 51.3%, Nader 1.5% Arizona (10 EVs) Weak Bush Kerry: 38% Bush: 43% Nader: 2% Source: Arizona State Univ. (May 23) 2000: Gore: 44.7%, Bush 51.0%, Nader 3.0% Alaska (3 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 28% Bush: 59% Nader: 10% Source: 2000 Election (no poll in 2004) 2000: Gore: 27.8%, Bush 58.8%, Nader 10.1% Alabama (9 EVs) Strong Bush Kerry: 35% Bush: 54% Source: Capital Survey (May 27) 2000: Gore: 41.6%, Bush 56.5%

Data in Excel format Battleground states Info about the states Previous report Next report   Strong Kerry (147) Weak Kerry (38) Barely Kerry (122) Exactly tied (4) Barely Bush (35) Weak Bush (43) Strong Bush (149)

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