Electoral Vote Predictor 2004: Kerry 252 Bush 286
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| Nov. 8 | Election results |
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I have now made a page containing the final election results and up to 5 polls taken in September, October, or November. The polls are sorted by the middle date. The length of the poll is given in the final field after the dash. The data are also available in Excel format and .csv format.
Here are the final national polls.
| Pollster | Sponsor | Dates | Kerry | Bush | Other | Not sure | N | LV/RV |
| American Res. Grp | Oct 28 - Oct 30 | 49 | 48 | 3 | 1500 | RV | ||
| American Res. Grp | Oct 28 - Oct 30 | 49 | 48 | 3 | 1500 | LV | ||
| CBS News | CBS | Oct 28 - Oct 31 | 46 | 47 | 1 | 6 | 939 | LV |
| CBS/NYT | CBS/NYT | Oct 28 - Oct 30 | 47 | 50 | 1 | 2 | 824 | LV |
| Gallup | USA Today | Oct 29 - Oct 31 | 48 | 46 | 1 | 3 | 2014 | RV |
| Gallup | USA Today | Oct 29 - Oct 31 | 47 | 49 | 1 | 3 | 1573 | LV |
| Opinion Dynamics | Fox News | Oct 30 - Oct 31 | 47 | 45 | 1 | 5 | 1400 | RV |
| Opinion Dynamics | Fox News | Oct 30 - Oct 31 | 48 | 46 | 1 | 5 | 1200 | LV |
| Greenberg | Dem. Corps | Oct 26 - Oct 28 | 49 | 46 | 2 | 2 | 1502 | LV |
| Harris | Oct 29 - Oct 31 | 45 | 49 | 3 | 3 | 1092 | LV | |
| Los Angeles Times | LAT | Oct 21 - Oct 24 | 47 | 47 | 1 | 5 | 1698 | RV |
| Los Angeles Times | LAT | Oct 21 - Oct 24 | 48 | 48 | 1 | 3 | 881 | LV |
| Marist Coll. | Oct 31 - Oct 31 | 48 | 48 | 4 | 1167 | RV | ||
| Marist Coll. | Oct 31 - Oct 31 | 49 | 48 | 3 | 987 | LV | ||
| NBC/WSJ | Oct 29 - Oct 31 | 47 | 48 | 3 | 2 | 1014 | LV | |
| PSRAI | Newsweek | Oct 27 - Oct 29 | 44 | 48 | 1 | 7 | 1005 | RV |
| PSRAI | Newsweek | Oct 27 - Oct 29 | 44 | 50 | 1 | 5 | 882 | LV |
| PSRAI | Pew | Oct 27 - Oct 30 | 45 | 45 | 1 | 8 | 2408 | RV |
| Zogby | Reuters | Oct 11 - Oct 13 | 45 | 46 | 2 | 7 | 1231 | LV |
| Time | Oct 19 - Oct 29 | 43 | 50 | 4 | 2 | 1059 | RV | |
| Time | Oct 19 - Oct 29 | 46 | 51 | 2 | 1 | 803 | LV | |
| YouGov | Economist | Oct 29 - Nov 1 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 2164 | LV |
Election 2004 final results: Kerry 48.0%, Bush 51.0%, Nader 0.3%, Badnarik 0.3%, Others 0.4%
Although the 2008 presidential campaign has already begun, let us not forget the Congressional elections of 2006. The following senators are up for reelection then.
Daniel Akaka (D-HI), George Allen (R-VT), Jeff Bingaman (D-NM), Conrad Burns (R-MT), Robert Byrd (D-WV), Maria Cantwell (D-WA), Thomas Carper (D-DE), Lincoln Chafee (R-RI), Hillary Clinton (D-NY), Kent Conrad (D-ND), Jon Corzine (D-NJ), Mark Dayton (D-MN), Mike DeWine (R-OH), John Ensign (R-NV), Dianne Feinstein (D-CA), Bill Frist (R-TN), Orrin Hatch (R-UT), Kay Hutchison (R-TX), James Jeffords (I-VT), Edward Kennedy (D-MA), Herb Kohl (D-WI), Jon Kyl (R-AZ), Joseph Lieberman (D-CT), Trent Lott (R-MS), Richard Lugar (R-IN), Ben Nelson (D-NE), Bill Nelson (D-FL), Rick Santorum (R-PA), Paul Sarbanes (D-MD), Olympia Snowe (R-ME), Debbie Stabenow (D-MI), James Talent (R-MO), and Craig Thomas (R-WY)If you are a senior majoring in computer science and are seriously thinking of leaving the country due to the election results, you might be interested in my international English-language masters program in parallel and distributed computer systems. If you are a faculty member in computer science, I would be very grateful if you would go to that Website and download and print the poster (a PDF file) and pin it to a bulletin board where potential students might see it and mention it in any classes you teach to CS seniors. Thank you.
New Senate: 44 Democrats, 55 Republicans, 1 independent
This site has far more about the election than just the map. See the Welcome page for more details.
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