May 13
Electoral Votes: Obama 237 McCain 290 Ties 11
Wyoming (3 EVs)
Strong Republican
Barack Obama: 35%
John McCain: 54%
Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28)
2004: Kerry 29%, Bush 69%
2000: Gore 28%, Bush 69%
1996: Clinton 37%, Dole 50%
1992: Clinton 34%, Bush 40%
Wisconsin (10 EVs)
Barely Republican
Barack Obama: 43%
John McCain: 47%
Source: Rasmussen-1 (May 05)
2004: Kerry 50%, Bush 49%
2000: Gore 48%, Bush 48%
1996: Clinton 49%, Dole 39%
1992: Clinton 41%, Bush 37%
West Virginia (5 EVs)
Strong Republican
Barack Obama: 35%
John McCain: 53%
Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28)
2004: Kerry 43%, Bush 56%
2000: Gore 46%, Bush 52%
1996: Clinton 52%, Dole 37%
1992: Clinton 48%, Bush 35%
Washington (11 EVs)
Strong Democrat
Barack Obama: 53%
John McCain: 40%
Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Apr 16)
2004: Kerry 53%, Bush 46%
2000: Gore 50%, Bush 45%
1996: Clinton 50%, Dole 37%
1992: Clinton 43%, Bush 32%
Virginia (13 EVs)
Barely Republican
Barack Obama: 44%
John McCain: 47%
Source: Rasmussen-1 (May 08)
2004: Kerry 45%, Bush 54%
2000: Gore 45%, Bush 53%
1996: Clinton 45%, Dole 47%
1992: Clinton 41%, Bush 45%
Vermont (3 EVs)
Strong Democrat
Barack Obama: 63%
John McCain: 29%
Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28)
2004: Kerry 59%, Bush 39%
2000: Gore 51%, Bush 41%
1996: Clinton 53%, Dole 31%
1992: Clinton 46%, Bush 30%
Vermont (3 EVs)
Strong Democrat
Barack Obama: 63%
John McCain: 29%
Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28)
2004: Kerry 59%, Bush 39%
2000: Gore 51%, Bush 41%
1996: Clinton 53%, Dole 31%
1992: Clinton 46%, Bush 30%
Utah (5 EVs)
Strong Republican
Barack Obama: 39%
John McCain: 50%
Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28)
2004: Kerry 26%, Bush 71%
2000: Gore 27%, Bush 67%
1996: Clinton 33%, Dole 54%
1992: Clinton 25%, Bush 43%
Texas (34 EVs)
Weak Republican
Barack Obama: 41%
John McCain: 50%
Source: Resea+Rasmu (May 07)
2004: Kerry 38%, Bush 61%
2000: Gore 38%, Bush 59%
1996: Clinton 44%, Dole 49%
1992: Clinton 37%, Bush 41%
Tennessee (11 EVs)
Strong Republican
Barack Obama: 31%
John McCain: 58%
Source: Rasmussen-1 (Apr 03)
2004: Kerry 43%, Bush 57%
2000: Gore 47%, Bush 51%
1996: Clinton 48%, Dole 46%
1992: Clinton 47%, Bush 42%
South Dakota (3 EVs)
Strong Republican
Barack Obama: 34%
John McCain: 51%
Source: Dakota Wesleyan U.-11 (Apr 03)
2004: Kerry 38%, Bush 60%
2000: Gore 38%, Bush 60%
1996: Clinton 43%, Dole 47%
1992: Clinton 37%, Bush 41%
South Carolina (8 EVs)
Barely Republican
Barack Obama: 45%
John McCain: 48%
Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28)
2004: Kerry 41%, Bush 58%
2000: Gore 41%, Bush 57%
1996: Clinton 44%, Dole 50%
1992: Clinton 43%, Bush 47%
Rhode Island (4 EVs)
Strong Democrat
Barack Obama: 53%
John McCain: 38%
Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28)
2004: Kerry 60%, Bush 39%
2000: Gore 61%, Bush 32%
1996: Clinton 60%, Dole 27%
1992: Clinton 47%, Bush 29%
Rhode Island (4 EVs)
Strong Democrat
Barack Obama: 53%
John McCain: 38%
Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28)
2004: Kerry 60%, Bush 39%
2000: Gore 61%, Bush 32%
1996: Clinton 60%, Dole 27%
1992: Clinton 47%, Bush 29%
Pennsylvania (21 EVs)
Weak Democrat
Barack Obama: 46%
John McCain: 39%
Source: Susquehanna Polling-6 (May 06)
2004: Kerry 51%, Bush 49%
2000: Gore 51%, Bush 46%
1996: Clinton 49%, Dole 40%
1992: Clinton 45%, Bush 36%
Oregon (7 EVs)
Strong Democrat
Barack Obama: 52%
John McCain: 38%
Source: Rasmussen-1 (May 07)
2004: Kerry 52%, Bush 48%
2000: Gore 47%, Bush 46%
1996: Clinton 47%, Dole 39%
1992: Clinton 43%, Bush 33%
Oklahoma (7 EVs)
Strong Republican
Barack Obama: 34%
John McCain: 57%
Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28)
2004: Kerry 34%, Bush 66%
2000: Gore 38%, Bush 60%
1996: Clinton 40%, Dole 48%
1992: Clinton 34%, Bush 43%
Ohio (20 EVs)
Barely Republican
Barack Obama: 42%
John McCain: 43%
Source: Quinnipiac U.-7 (Apr 29)
2004: Kerry 49%, Bush 51%
2000: Gore 46%, Bush 50%
1996: Clinton 47%, Dole 41%
1992: Clinton 40%, Bush 38%
North Dakota (3 EVs)
Weak Republican
Barack Obama: 38%
John McCain: 44%
Source: Dakota Wesleyan U.-11 (Apr 03)
2004: Kerry 36%, Bush 63%
2000: Gore 33%, Bush 61%
1996: Clinton 40%, Dole 47%
1992: Clinton 32%, Bush 44%
North Carolina (15 EVs)
Barely Republican
Barack Obama: 45%
John McCain: 48%
Source: Rasmussen-1 (May 08)
2004: Kerry 44%, Bush 56%
2000: Gore 43%, Bush 56%
1996: Clinton 44%, Dole 49%
1992: Clinton 42%, Bush 43%
New York (31 EVs)
Strong Democrat
Barack Obama: 52%
John McCain: 35%
Source: Rasmussen-1 (May 01)
2004: Kerry 58%, Bush 41%
2000: Gore 60%, Bush 35%
1996: Clinton 58%, Dole 30%
1992: Clinton 47%, Bush 29%
New Mexico (5 EVs)
Barely Republican
Barack Obama: 45%
John McCain: 46%
Source: Surve+Rasmu (Apr 13)
2004: Kerry 49%, Bush 50%
2000: Gore 48%, Bush 47%
1996: Clinton 49%, Dole 42%
1992: Clinton 46%, Bush 37%
New Jersey (15 EVs)
Strong Democrat
Barack Obama: 56%
John McCain: 32%
Source: Monmouth U.-5 (Apr 28)
2004: Kerry 53%, Bush 47%
2000: Gore 56%, Bush 40%
1996: Clinton 54%, Dole 36%
1992: Clinton 43%, Bush 41%
New Jersey (15 EVs)
Strong Democrat
Barack Obama: 56%
John McCain: 32%
Source: Monmouth U.-5 (Apr 28)
2004: Kerry 53%, Bush 47%
2000: Gore 56%, Bush 40%
1996: Clinton 54%, Dole 36%
1992: Clinton 43%, Bush 41%
New Hampshire (4 EVs)
Weak Republican
Barack Obama: 42%
John McCain: 50%
Source: Rasmu+U. of (Apr 30)
2004: Kerry 50%, Bush 49%
2000: Gore 47%, Bush 48%
1996: Clinton 50%, Dole 40%
1992: Clinton 39%, Bush 38%
New Hampshire (4 EVs)
Weak Republican
Barack Obama: 42%
John McCain: 50%
Source: Rasmu+U. of (Apr 30)
2004: Kerry 50%, Bush 49%
2000: Gore 47%, Bush 48%
1996: Clinton 50%, Dole 40%
1992: Clinton 39%, Bush 38%
Nevada (5 EVs)
Weak Republican
Barack Obama: 43%
John McCain: 48%
Source: Rasmussen-1 (Apr 21)
2004: Kerry 48%, Bush 51%
2000: Gore 46%, Bush 50%
1996: Clinton 44%, Dole 43%
1992: Clinton 37%, Bush 35%
Nebraska (5 EVs)
Barely Republican
Barack Obama: 42%
John McCain: 45%
Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28)
2004: Kerry 32%, Bush 67%
2000: Gore 33%, Bush 62%
1996: Clinton 35%, Dole 54%
1992: Clinton 29%, Bush 47%
Montana (3 EVs)
Weak Republican
Barack Obama: 43%
John McCain: 48%
Source: Rasmussen-1 (Apr 06)
2004: Kerry 39%, Bush 59%
2000: Gore 33%, Bush 58%
1996: Clinton 41%, Dole 44%
1992: Clinton 38%, Bush 35%
Missouri (11 EVs)
Weak Republican
Barack Obama: 41%
John McCain: 47%
Source: Rasmussen-1 (May 06)
2004: Kerry 46%, Bush 53%
2000: Gore 47%, Bush 50%
1996: Clinton 48%, Dole 41%
1992: Clinton 44%, Bush 34%
Mississippi (6 EVs)
Strong Republican
Barack Obama: 41%
John McCain: 54%
Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28)
2004: Kerry 40%, Bush 60%
2000: Gore 41%, Bush 58%
1996: Clinton 44%, Dole 49%
1992: Clinton 41%, Bush 50%
Minnesota (10 EVs)
Strong Democrat
Barack Obama: 52%
John McCain: 38%
Source: Rasmussen-1 (Apr 22)
2004: Kerry 51%, Bush 48%
2000: Gore 48%, Bush 46%
1996: Clinton 51%, Dole 35%
1992: Clinton 44%, Bush 32%
Michigan (17 EVs)
Barely Republican
Barack Obama: 44%
John McCain: 45%
Source: Rasmu+Rasmu (May 08)
2004: Kerry 51%, Bush 48%
2000: Gore 51%, Bush 46%
1996: Clinton 52%, Dole 39%
1992: Clinton 44%, Bush 36%
Massachusetts (12 EVs)
Strong Democrat
Barack Obama: 51%
John McCain: 39%
Source: Rasmussen-1 (Apr 23)
2004: Kerry 62%, Bush 37%
2000: Gore 60%, Bush 33%
1996: Clinton 62%, Dole 28%
1992: Clinton 48%, Bush 29%
Massachusetts (12 EVs)
Strong Democrat
Barack Obama: 51%
John McCain: 39%
Source: Rasmussen-1 (Apr 23)
2004: Kerry 62%, Bush 37%
2000: Gore 60%, Bush 33%
1996: Clinton 62%, Dole 28%
1992: Clinton 48%, Bush 29%
Maryland (10 EVs)
Strong Democrat
Barack Obama: 52%
John McCain: 39%
Source: Surve+Gonza (Feb 28)
2004: Kerry 56%, Bush 43%
2000: Gore 57%, Bush 40%
1996: Clinton 54%, Dole 38%
1992: Clinton 50%, Bush 36%
Maryland (10 EVs)
Strong Democrat
Barack Obama: 52%
John McCain: 39%
Source: Surve+Gonza (Feb 28)
2004: Kerry 56%, Bush 43%
2000: Gore 57%, Bush 40%
1996: Clinton 54%, Dole 38%
1992: Clinton 50%, Bush 36%
Maine (4 EVs)
Strong Democrat
Barack Obama: 49%
John McCain: 39%
Source: Rasmussen-1 (Apr 01)
2004: Kerry 53%, Bush 45%
2000: Gore 49%, Bush 44%
1996: Clinton 52%, Dole 31%
1992: Clinton 39%, Bush 30%
Louisiana (9 EVs)
Strong Republican
Barack Obama: 41%
John McCain: 52%
Source: Rasmussen-1 (Apr 09)
2004: Kerry 42%, Bush 57%
2000: Gore 45%, Bush 53%
1996: Clinton 52%, Dole 40%
1992: Clinton 46%, Bush 41%
Kentucky (8 EVs)
Strong Republican
Barack Obama: 33%
John McCain: 58%
Source: Research 2000-3 (May 09)
2004: Kerry 40%, Bush 60%
2000: Gore 41%, Bush 56%
1996: Clinton 46%, Dole 45%
1992: Clinton 45%, Bush 41%
Kansas (6 EVs)
Strong Republican
Barack Obama: 37%
John McCain: 54%
Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Apr 13)
2004: Kerry 37%, Bush 62%
2000: Gore 37%, Bush 58%
1996: Clinton 36%, Dole 54%
1992: Clinton 34%, Bush 39%
Iowa (7 EVs)
Weak Democrat
Barack Obama: 49%
John McCain: 41%
Source: Research 2000-3 (Apr 23)
2004: Kerry 49%, Bush 50%
2000: Gore 49%, Bush 48%
1996: Clinton 50%, Dole 40%
1992: Clinton 43%, Bush 37%
Indiana (11 EVs)
Tied
Barack Obama: 46%
John McCain: 46%
Source: Resea+Selze (Apr 24)
2004: Kerry 39%, Bush 60%
2000: Gore 41%, Bush 57%
1996: Clinton 42%, Dole 47%
1992: Clinton 37%, Bush 43%
Illinois (21 EVs)
Strong Democrat
Barack Obama: 60%
John McCain: 31%
Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28)
2004: Kerry 55%, Bush 45%
2000: Gore 55%, Bush 43%
1996: Clinton 54%, Dole 37%
1992: Clinton 49%, Bush 34%
Idaho (4 EVs)
Strong Republican
Barack Obama: 39%
John McCain: 52%
Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28)
2004: Kerry 30%, Bush 69%
2000: Gore 28%, Bush 67%
1996: Clinton 34%, Dole 52%
1992: Clinton 28%, Bush 42%
Hawaii (4 EVs)
Strong Democrat
Barack Obama: 61%
John McCain: 31%
Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28)
2004: Kerry 54%, Bush 45%
2000: Gore 56%, Bush 38%
1996: Clinton 57%, Dole 32%
1992: Clinton 48%, Bush 37%
Georgia (15 EVs)
Strong Republican
Barack Obama: 39%
John McCain: 53%
Source: Rasmussen-1 (May 06)
2004: Kerry 41%, Bush 58%
2000: Gore 43%, Bush 55%
1996: Clinton 46%, Dole 47%
1992: Clinton 44%, Bush 43%
Florida (27 EVs)
Barely Republican
Barack Obama: 43%
John McCain: 44%
Source: Quinnipiac U.-7 (Apr 29)
2004: Kerry 47%, Bush 52%
2000: Gore 48%, Bush 49%
1996: Clinton 48%, Dole 42%
1992: Clinton 39%, Bush 41%
Delaware (3 EVs)
Weak Democrat
Barack Obama: 50%
John McCain: 41%
Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28)
2004: Kerry 53%, Bush 46%
2000: Gore 55%, Bush 42%
1996: Clinton 52%, Dole 37%
1992: Clinton 44%, Bush 35%
Delaware (3 EVs)
Weak Democrat
Barack Obama: 50%
John McCain: 41%
Source: SurveyUSA-3 (Feb 28)
2004: Kerry 53%, Bush 46%
2000: Gore 55%, Bush 42%
1996: Clinton 52%, Dole 37%
1992: Clinton 44%, Bush 35%
D.C. (3 EVs)
Strong Democrat
Barack Obama: 90%
John McCain: 9%
Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01)
2004: Kerry 90%, Bush 9%
2000: Gore 86%, Bush 9%
1996: Clinton 85%, Dole 9%
1992: Clinton 85%, Bush 9%
D.C. (3 EVs)
Strong Democrat
Barack Obama: 90%
John McCain: 9%
Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01)
2004: Kerry 90%, Bush 9%
2000: Gore 86%, Bush 9%
1996: Clinton 85%, Dole 9%
1992: Clinton 85%, Bush 9%
Connecticut (7 EVs)
Strong Democrat
Barack Obama: 52%
John McCain: 35%
Source: Quinnipiac U.-6 (Mar 24)
2004: Kerry 54%, Bush 44%
2000: Gore 56%, Bush 38%
1996: Clinton 53%, Dole 35%
1992: Clinton 42%, Bush 36%
Connecticut (7 EVs)
Strong Democrat
Barack Obama: 52%
John McCain: 35%
Source: Quinnipiac U.-6 (Mar 24)
2004: Kerry 54%, Bush 44%
2000: Gore 56%, Bush 38%
1996: Clinton 53%, Dole 35%
1992: Clinton 42%, Bush 36%
Colorado (9 EVs)
Barely Democrat
Barack Obama: 46%
John McCain: 43%
Source: Rasmussen-1 (Apr 16)
2004: Kerry 47%, Bush 52%
2000: Gore 42%, Bush 51%
1996: Clinton 44%, Dole 46%
1992: Clinton 40%, Bush 36%
California (55 EVs)
Weak Democrat
Barack Obama: 50%
John McCain: 43%
Source: Rasmu+Surve (Apr 16)
2004: Kerry 55%, Bush 44%
2000: Gore 53%, Bush 42%
1996: Clinton 51%, Dole 38%
1992: Clinton 46%, Bush 33%
Arkansas (6 EVs)
Strong Republican
Barack Obama: 30%
John McCain: 59%
Source: Rasmussen-1 (Mar 18)
2004: Kerry 45%, Bush 54%
2000: Gore 46%, Bush 51%
1996: Clinton 54%, Dole 37%
1992: Clinton 53%, Bush 36%
Arizona (10 EVs)
Weak Republican
Barack Obama: 38%
John McCain: 47%
Source: Arizona State U.-4 (Apr 27)
2004: Kerry 45%, Bush 55%
2000: Gore 45%, Bush 51%
1996: Clinton 47%, Dole 44%
1992: Clinton 37%, Bush 39%
Alaska (3 EVs)
Weak Republican
Barack Obama: 43%
John McCain: 48%
Source: Rasmussen-1 (Apr 07)
2004: Kerry 35%, Bush 62%
2000: Gore 28%, Bush 59%
1996: Clinton 33%, Dole 51%
1992: Clinton 30%, Bush 40%
Alabama (9 EVs)
Strong Republican
Barack Obama: 36%
John McCain: 55%
Source: Capital Survey-9 (Apr 24)
2004: Kerry 37%, Bush 63%
2000: Gore 42%, Bush 57%
1996: Clinton 43%, Dole 50%
1992: Clinton 41%, Bush 48%
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Strong Dem (142)
Weak Dem (86)
Barely Dem (9)
Exactly tied (11)
Barely GOP (120)
Weak GOP (73)
Strong GOP (97)
270 Electoral votes needed to win
Map algorithm explained
Presidential polls today:
KY MI NC PA VA
Dem pickups (vs. 2004):
CO IA
GOP pickups (vs. 2004):
MI NH WI
Complete polling data in .csv format
.
Data used to produce the map in .csv format
.
State
Democrat
Republican
End
Len
Dem
GOP
I
Pollster
Alabama
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 24
9
36%
55%
Capital Survey
Alabama
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
32%
64%
SurveyUSA
Alabama
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 02
1
37%
55%
Rasmussen
Alabama
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 27
4
30%
57%
U. of South Alabama
Alabama
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
35%
62%
SurveyUSA
Alabama
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
40%
54%
SurveyUSA
Alabama
Barack Obama
John McCain
Jan 17
2
29%
63%
SurveyUSA
Alabama
John Kerry
George Bush
1
37%
63%
Election 2004
Alaska
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 07
1
43%
48%
Rasmussen
Alaska
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
43%
48%
SurveyUSA
Alaska
John Kerry
George Bush
1
35%
62%
Election 2004
Arizona
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 27
4
38%
47%
Arizona State U.
Arizona
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 15
1
37%
57%
Rasmussen
Arizona
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 08
10
33%
55%
Northern Arizona U.
Arizona
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
39%
51%
SurveyUSA
Arizona
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 24
4
38%
49%
Arizona State U.
Arizona
John Kerry
George Bush
1
45%
55%
Election 2004
Arkansas
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 18
1
30%
59%
Rasmussen
Arkansas
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 11
6
27%
43%
Opinion Res.
Arkansas
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
33%
53%
SurveyUSA
Arkansas
John Kerry
George Bush
1
45%
54%
Election 2004
California
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 16
1
50%
43%
Rasmussen
California
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
50%
43%
SurveyUSA
California
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
54%
40%
SurveyUSA
California
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 18
8
49%
40%
Public Policy Institute of California
California
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 12
1
53%
38%
Rasmussen
California
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
51%
40%
SurveyUSA
California
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
61%
34%
SurveyUSA
California
John Kerry
George Bush
1
55%
44%
Election 2004
Colorado
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 16
1
46%
43%
Rasmussen
Colorado
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 17
1
46%
46%
Rasmussen
Colorado
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
50%
41%
SurveyUSA
Colorado
John Kerry
George Bush
1
47%
52%
Election 2004
Connecticut
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 24
6
52%
35%
Quinnipiac U.
Connecticut
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 11
1
50%
38%
Rasmussen
Connecticut
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
55%
34%
SurveyUSA
Connecticut
John Kerry
George Bush
1
54%
44%
Election 2004
D.C.
John Kerry
George Bush
1
90%
9%
Election 2004
Delaware
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
50%
41%
SurveyUSA
Delaware
John Kerry
George Bush
1
53%
46%
Election 2004
Florida
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 29
7
43%
44%
Quinnipiac U.
Florida
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 10
1
38%
53%
Rasmussen
Florida
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 31
8
37%
46%
Quinnipiac U.
Florida
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 12
1
43%
47%
Rasmussen
Florida
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
45%
47%
SurveyUSA
Florida
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 16
1
37%
53%
Rasmussen
Florida
John Kerry
George Bush
1
47%
52%
Election 2004
Georgia
Barack Obama
John McCain
May 06
1
39%
53%
Rasmussen
Georgia
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 20
1
40%
53%
Rasmussen
Georgia
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
41%
54%
SurveyUSA
Georgia
John Kerry
George Bush
1
41%
58%
Election 2004
Hawaii
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
61%
31%
SurveyUSA
Hawaii
John Kerry
George Bush
1
54%
45%
Election 2004
Idaho
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
39%
52%
SurveyUSA
Idaho
John Kerry
George Bush
1
30%
69%
Election 2004
Illinois
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
60%
31%
SurveyUSA
Illinois
John Kerry
George Bush
1
55%
45%
Election 2004
Indiana
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 24
4
43%
51%
Research 2000
Indiana
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 23
4
49%
41%
Selzer
Indiana
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 16
3
44%
51%
IPFW U.
Indiana
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
41%
50%
SurveyUSA
Indiana
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 04
2
40%
50%
SurveyUSA
Indiana
John Kerry
George Bush
1
39%
60%
Election 2004
Iowa
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 23
3
49%
41%
Research 2000
Iowa
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
49%
42%
SurveyUSA
Iowa
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 31
1
46%
42%
Rasmussen
Iowa
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
50%
44%
SurveyUSA
Iowa
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
50%
41%
SurveyUSA
Iowa
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 18
1
44%
41%
Rasmussen
Iowa
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
51%
41%
SurveyUSA
Iowa
John Kerry
George Bush
1
49%
50%
Election 2004
Kansas
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
37%
54%
SurveyUSA
Kansas
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
39%
51%
SurveyUSA
Kansas
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
41%
50%
SurveyUSA
Kansas
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
44%
50%
SurveyUSA
Kansas
John Kerry
George Bush
1
37%
62%
Election 2004
Kentucky
Barack Obama
John McCain
May 09
3
33%
58%
Research 2000
Kentucky
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
29%
63%
SurveyUSA
Kentucky
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
28%
64%
SurveyUSA
Kentucky
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
33%
54%
SurveyUSA
Kentucky
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 04
2
32%
61%
SurveyUSA
Kentucky
John Kerry
George Bush
1
40%
60%
Election 2004
Louisiana
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 09
1
41%
52%
Rasmussen
Louisiana
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 09
15
35%
51%
Opinion Res.
Louisiana
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
39%
54%
SurveyUSA
Louisiana
John Kerry
George Bush
1
42%
57%
Election 2004
Maine
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 01
1
49%
39%
Rasmussen
Maine
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
53%
39%
SurveyUSA
Maine
John Kerry
George Bush
1
53%
45%
Election 2004
Maryland
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
53%
40%
SurveyUSA
Maryland
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 01
8
51%
37%
Gonzales Res.
Maryland
John Kerry
George Bush
1
56%
43%
Election 2004
Massachusetts
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 23
1
51%
39%
Rasmussen
Massachusetts
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
48%
46%
SurveyUSA
Massachusetts
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 18
1
49%
42%
Rasmussen
Massachusetts
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
47%
47%
SurveyUSA
Massachusetts
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
49%
42%
SurveyUSA
Massachusetts
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
48%
46%
SurveyUSA
Massachusetts
John Kerry
George Bush
1
62%
37%
Election 2004
Michigan
Barack Obama
John McCain
May 08
1
44%
45%
Rasmussen
Michigan
Barack Obama
John McCain
May 07
1
44%
45%
Rasmussen
Michigan
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 08
6
43%
41%
EPIC-MRA
Michigan
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 25
1
42%
43%
Rasmussen
Michigan
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 10
1
41%
44%
Rasmussen
Michigan
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
46%
45%
SurveyUSA
Michigan
John Kerry
George Bush
1
51%
48%
Election 2004
Minnesota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 22
1
52%
38%
Rasmussen
Minnesota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
49%
43%
SurveyUSA
Minnesota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 19
1
47%
43%
Rasmussen
Minnesota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
46%
47%
SurveyUSA
Minnesota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
49%
42%
SurveyUSA
Minnesota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 16
1
53%
38%
Rasmussen
Minnesota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
55%
40%
SurveyUSA
Minnesota
John Kerry
George Bush
1
51%
48%
Election 2004
Mississippi
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
41%
54%
SurveyUSA
Mississippi
John Kerry
George Bush
1
40%
60%
Election 2004
Missouri
Barack Obama
John McCain
May 06
1
41%
47%
Rasmussen
Missouri
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
42%
50%
SurveyUSA
Missouri
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 24
1
38%
53%
Rasmussen
Missouri
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
39%
53%
SurveyUSA
Missouri
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
42%
48%
SurveyUSA
Missouri
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
49%
43%
SurveyUSA
Missouri
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 12
1
40%
42%
Rasmussen
Missouri
John Kerry
George Bush
1
46%
53%
Election 2004
Montana
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 06
1
43%
48%
Rasmussen
Montana
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
39%
47%
SurveyUSA
Montana
John Kerry
George Bush
1
39%
59%
Election 2004
Nebraska
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
42%
45%
SurveyUSA
Nebraska
John Kerry
George Bush
1
32%
67%
Election 2004
Nevada
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 21
1
43%
48%
Rasmussen
Nevada
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 19
1
45%
41%
Rasmussen
Nevada
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
46%
41%
SurveyUSA
Nevada
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 12
1
50%
38%
Rasmussen
Nevada
John Kerry
George Bush
1
48%
51%
Election 2004
New Hampshire
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 30
1
41%
51%
Rasmussen
New Hampshire
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 30
6
43%
49%
U. of New Hampshire
New Hampshire
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
1
43%
46%
Rasmussen
New Hampshire
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
46%
44%
SurveyUSA
New Hampshire
John Kerry
George Bush
1
50%
49%
Election 2004
New Jersey
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 28
5
56%
32%
Monmouth U.
New Jersey
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 27
1
45%
46%
Rasmussen
New Jersey
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 30
7
47%
42%
Fairleigh Dickinson U.
New Jersey
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 27
1
43%
45%
Rasmussen
New Jersey
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
43%
43%
SurveyUSA
New Jersey
John Kerry
George Bush
1
53%
47%
Election 2004
New Mexico
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
44%
50%
SurveyUSA
New Mexico
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 08
1
45%
42%
Rasmussen
New Mexico
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
51%
45%
SurveyUSA
New Mexico
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
50%
43%
SurveyUSA
New Mexico
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 18
2
44%
44%
Rasmussen
New Mexico
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
55%
40%
SurveyUSA
New Mexico
John Kerry
George Bush
1
49%
50%
Election 2004
New York
Barack Obama
John McCain
May 01
1
52%
35%
Rasmussen
New York
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 15
2
47%
39%
Quinnipiac U.
New York
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 16
4
45%
40%
Siena Coll.
New York
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
52%
43%
SurveyUSA
New York
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 08
6
46%
48%
Marist Coll.
New York
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 18
3
49%
38%
Quinnipiac U.
New York
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
52%
44%
SurveyUSA
New York
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 11
1
51%
38%
Rasmussen
New York
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
52%
38%
SurveyUSA
New York
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
57%
36%
SurveyUSA
New York
John Kerry
George Bush
1
58%
41%
Election 2004
North Carolina
Barack Obama
John McCain
May 08
1
45%
48%
Rasmussen
North Carolina
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 30
3
41%
50%
Research 2000
North Carolina
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 10
1
47%
47%
Rasmussen
North Carolina
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 10
2
39%
48%
Tel Opinion Research
North Carolina
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 20
1
42%
51%
Rasmussen
North Carolina
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
45%
47%
SurveyUSA
North Carolina
John Kerry
George Bush
1
44%
56%
Election 2004
North Dakota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 03
11
38%
44%
Dakota Wesleyan U.
North Dakota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
46%
42%
SurveyUSA
North Dakota
John Kerry
George Bush
1
36%
63%
Election 2004
Ohio
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 29
7
42%
43%
Quinnipiac U.
Ohio
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
45%
47%
SurveyUSA
Ohio
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 08
1
40%
47%
Rasmussen
Ohio
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 31
8
43%
42%
Quinnipiac U.
Ohio
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
43%
50%
SurveyUSA
Ohio
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 13
1
40%
46%
Rasmussen
Ohio
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
50%
40%
SurveyUSA
Ohio
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
47%
44%
SurveyUSA
Ohio
John Kerry
George Bush
1
49%
51%
Election 2004
Oklahoma
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
34%
57%
SurveyUSA
Oklahoma
John Kerry
George Bush
1
34%
66%
Election 2004
Oregon
Barack Obama
John McCain
May 07
1
52%
38%
Rasmussen
Oregon
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
51%
42%
SurveyUSA
Oregon
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 26
1
48%
42%
Rasmussen
Oregon
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
50%
41%
SurveyUSA
Oregon
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
49%
41%
SurveyUSA
Oregon
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
48%
47%
SurveyUSA
Oregon
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 13
1
49%
40%
Rasmussen
Oregon
John Kerry
George Bush
1
52%
48%
Election 2004
Pennsylvania
Barack Obama
John McCain
May 06
6
46%
39%
Susquehanna Polling
Pennsylvania
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 29
7
47%
38%
Quinnipiac U.
Pennsylvania
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 24
1
43%
44%
Rasmussen
Pennsylvania
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 09
1
47%
39%
Rasmussen
Pennsylvania
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 31
8
43%
39%
Quinnipiac U.
Pennsylvania
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 10
1
43%
44%
Rasmussen
Pennsylvania
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 10
6
41%
45%
Susquehanna Polling
Pennsylvania
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
42%
47%
SurveyUSA
Pennsylvania
John Kerry
George Bush
1
51%
49%
Election 2004
Rhode Island
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
53%
38%
SurveyUSA
Rhode Island
John Kerry
George Bush
1
60%
39%
Election 2004
South Carolina
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
45%
48%
SurveyUSA
South Carolina
John Kerry
George Bush
1
41%
58%
Election 2004
South Dakota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 03
11
34%
51%
Dakota Wesleyan U.
South Dakota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 04
1
38%
48%
Rasmussen
South Dakota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
43%
47%
SurveyUSA
South Dakota
John Kerry
George Bush
1
38%
60%
Election 2004
Tennessee
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 03
1
31%
58%
Rasmussen
Tennessee
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
38%
54%
SurveyUSA
Tennessee
John Kerry
George Bush
1
43%
57%
Election 2004
Texas
Barack Obama
John McCain
May 07
3
39%
52%
Research 2000
Texas
Barack Obama
John McCain
May 01
1
43%
48%
Rasmussen
Texas
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
46%
47%
SurveyUSA
Texas
John Kerry
George Bush
1
38%
61%
Election 2004
Utah
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
39%
50%
SurveyUSA
Utah
John Kerry
George Bush
1
26%
71%
Election 2004
Vermont
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
63%
29%
SurveyUSA
Vermont
John Kerry
George Bush
1
59%
39%
Election 2004
Virginia
Barack Obama
John McCain
May 08
1
44%
47%
Rasmussen
Virginia
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
44%
52%
SurveyUSA
Virginia
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 27
1
41%
52%
Rasmussen
Virginia
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
48%
47%
SurveyUSA
Virginia
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
47%
47%
SurveyUSA
Virginia
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 19
1
44%
49%
Rasmussen
Virginia
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
51%
45%
SurveyUSA
Virginia
John Kerry
George Bush
1
45%
54%
Election 2004
Washington
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 16
3
53%
40%
SurveyUSA
Washington
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 27
1
48%
43%
Rasmussen
Washington
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 20
3
45%
39%
Elway Poll
Washington
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
52%
41%
SurveyUSA
Washington
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
1
44%
45%
Rasmussen
Washington
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
52%
38%
SurveyUSA
Washington
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 04
2
55%
38%
SurveyUSA
Washington
John Kerry
George Bush
1
53%
46%
Election 2004
West Virginia
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
35%
53%
SurveyUSA
West Virginia
John Kerry
George Bush
1
43%
56%
Election 2004
Wisconsin
Barack Obama
John McCain
May 05
1
43%
47%
Rasmussen
Wisconsin
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 24
10
47%
43%
U. of Wisconsin
Wisconsin
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
49%
44%
SurveyUSA
Wisconsin
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 05
12
46%
42%
St. Norbert Coll.
Wisconsin
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 26
1
46%
48%
Rasmussen
Wisconsin
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
48%
44%
SurveyUSA
Wisconsin
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
51%
40%
SurveyUSA
Wisconsin
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 21
1
44%
43%
Rasmussen
Wisconsin
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
52%
42%
SurveyUSA
Wisconsin
John Kerry
George Bush
1
50%
49%
Election 2004
Wyoming
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
35%
54%
SurveyUSA
Wyoming
John Kerry
George Bush
1
29%
69%
Election 2004