Apr. 28
Electoral Votes: Obama 243 McCain 269 Ties 26
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Strong Dem (89)
Weak Dem (113)
Barely Dem (41)
Exactly tied (26)
Barely GOP (97)
Weak GOP (38)
Strong GOP (134)
270 Electoral votes needed to win
Map algorithm explained
Presidential polls today:
(None)
Dem pickups (vs. 2004):
CO IA
GOP pickups (vs. 2004):
NH PA
Complete polling data in .csv format
.
Data used to produce the map in .csv format
.
State
Democrat
Republican
End
Len
Dem
GOP
I
Pollster
Alabama
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
32%
64%
SurveyUSA
Alabama
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 02
1
37%
55%
Rasmussen
Alabama
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 27
4
30%
57%
U. of South Alabama
Alabama
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
35%
62%
SurveyUSA
Alabama
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
40%
54%
SurveyUSA
Alabama
Barack Obama
John McCain
Jan 17
2
29%
63%
SurveyUSA
Alabama
John Kerry
George Bush
1
37%
63%
Election 2004
Alaska
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 07
1
43%
48%
Rasmussen
Alaska
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
43%
48%
SurveyUSA
Alaska
John Kerry
George Bush
1
35%
62%
Election 2004
Arizona
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 15
1
37%
57%
Rasmussen
Arizona
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 08
10
33%
55%
Northern Arizona U.
Arizona
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
39%
51%
SurveyUSA
Arizona
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 24
4
38%
49%
Arizona State U.
Arizona
John Kerry
George Bush
1
45%
55%
Election 2004
Arkansas
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 18
1
30%
59%
Rasmussen
Arkansas
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 11
6
27%
43%
Opinion Res.
Arkansas
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
33%
53%
SurveyUSA
Arkansas
John Kerry
George Bush
1
45%
54%
Election 2004
California
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 16
1
50%
43%
Rasmussen
California
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
50%
43%
SurveyUSA
California
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
54%
40%
SurveyUSA
California
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 18
8
49%
40%
Public Policy Institute of California
California
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 12
1
53%
38%
Rasmussen
California
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
51%
40%
SurveyUSA
California
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
61%
34%
SurveyUSA
California
John Kerry
George Bush
1
55%
44%
Election 2004
Colorado
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 16
1
46%
43%
Rasmussen
Colorado
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 17
1
46%
46%
Rasmussen
Colorado
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
50%
41%
SurveyUSA
Colorado
John Kerry
George Bush
1
47%
52%
Election 2004
Connecticut
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 24
6
52%
35%
Quinnipiac U.
Connecticut
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 11
1
50%
38%
Rasmussen
Connecticut
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
55%
34%
SurveyUSA
Connecticut
John Kerry
George Bush
1
54%
44%
Election 2004
D.C.
John Kerry
George Bush
1
90%
9%
Election 2004
Delaware
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
50%
41%
SurveyUSA
Delaware
John Kerry
George Bush
1
53%
46%
Election 2004
Florida
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 10
1
38%
53%
Rasmussen
Florida
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 31
8
37%
46%
Quinnipiac U.
Florida
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 12
1
43%
47%
Rasmussen
Florida
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
45%
47%
SurveyUSA
Florida
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 16
1
37%
53%
Rasmussen
Florida
John Kerry
George Bush
1
47%
52%
Election 2004
Georgia
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 20
1
40%
53%
Rasmussen
Georgia
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
41%
54%
SurveyUSA
Georgia
John Kerry
George Bush
1
41%
58%
Election 2004
Hawaii
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
61%
31%
SurveyUSA
Hawaii
John Kerry
George Bush
1
54%
45%
Election 2004
Idaho
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
39%
52%
SurveyUSA
Idaho
John Kerry
George Bush
1
30%
69%
Election 2004
Illinois
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
60%
31%
SurveyUSA
Illinois
John Kerry
George Bush
1
55%
45%
Election 2004
Indiana
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 24
4
43%
51%
Research 2000
Indiana
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 23
4
49%
41%
Selzer
Indiana
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 16
3
44%
51%
IPFW U.
Indiana
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
41%
50%
SurveyUSA
Indiana
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 04
2
40%
50%
SurveyUSA
Indiana
John Kerry
George Bush
1
39%
60%
Election 2004
Iowa
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 23
3
49%
41%
Research 2000
Iowa
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
49%
42%
SurveyUSA
Iowa
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 31
1
46%
42%
Rasmussen
Iowa
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
50%
44%
SurveyUSA
Iowa
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
50%
41%
SurveyUSA
Iowa
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 18
1
44%
41%
Rasmussen
Iowa
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
51%
41%
SurveyUSA
Iowa
John Kerry
George Bush
1
49%
50%
Election 2004
Kansas
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
37%
54%
SurveyUSA
Kansas
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
39%
51%
SurveyUSA
Kansas
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
41%
50%
SurveyUSA
Kansas
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
44%
50%
SurveyUSA
Kansas
John Kerry
George Bush
1
37%
62%
Election 2004
Kentucky
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
29%
63%
SurveyUSA
Kentucky
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
28%
64%
SurveyUSA
Kentucky
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
33%
54%
SurveyUSA
Kentucky
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 04
2
32%
61%
SurveyUSA
Kentucky
John Kerry
George Bush
1
40%
60%
Election 2004
Louisiana
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 09
1
41%
52%
Rasmussen
Louisiana
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 09
15
35%
51%
Opinion Res.
Louisiana
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
39%
54%
SurveyUSA
Louisiana
John Kerry
George Bush
1
42%
57%
Election 2004
Maine
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 01
1
49%
39%
Rasmussen
Maine
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
53%
39%
SurveyUSA
Maine
John Kerry
George Bush
1
53%
45%
Election 2004
Maryland
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
53%
40%
SurveyUSA
Maryland
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 01
8
51%
37%
Gonzales Res.
Maryland
John Kerry
George Bush
1
56%
43%
Election 2004
Massachusetts
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 23
1
51%
39%
Rasmussen
Massachusetts
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
48%
46%
SurveyUSA
Massachusetts
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 18
1
49%
42%
Rasmussen
Massachusetts
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
47%
47%
SurveyUSA
Massachusetts
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
49%
42%
SurveyUSA
Massachusetts
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
48%
46%
SurveyUSA
Massachusetts
John Kerry
George Bush
1
62%
37%
Election 2004
Michigan
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 08
6
43%
41%
EPIC-MRA
Michigan
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 25
1
42%
43%
Rasmussen
Michigan
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 10
1
41%
44%
Rasmussen
Michigan
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
46%
45%
SurveyUSA
Michigan
John Kerry
George Bush
1
51%
48%
Election 2004
Minnesota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 22
1
52%
38%
Rasmussen
Minnesota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
49%
43%
SurveyUSA
Minnesota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 19
1
47%
43%
Rasmussen
Minnesota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
46%
47%
SurveyUSA
Minnesota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
49%
42%
SurveyUSA
Minnesota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 16
1
53%
38%
Rasmussen
Minnesota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
55%
40%
SurveyUSA
Minnesota
John Kerry
George Bush
1
51%
48%
Election 2004
Mississippi
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
41%
54%
SurveyUSA
Mississippi
John Kerry
George Bush
1
40%
60%
Election 2004
Missouri
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
42%
50%
SurveyUSA
Missouri
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 24
1
38%
53%
Rasmussen
Missouri
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
39%
53%
SurveyUSA
Missouri
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
42%
48%
SurveyUSA
Missouri
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
49%
43%
SurveyUSA
Missouri
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 12
1
40%
42%
Rasmussen
Missouri
John Kerry
George Bush
1
46%
53%
Election 2004
Montana
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 06
1
43%
48%
Rasmussen
Montana
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
39%
47%
SurveyUSA
Montana
John Kerry
George Bush
1
39%
59%
Election 2004
Nebraska
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
42%
45%
SurveyUSA
Nebraska
John Kerry
George Bush
1
32%
67%
Election 2004
Nevada
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 21
1
43%
48%
Rasmussen
Nevada
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 19
1
45%
41%
Rasmussen
Nevada
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
46%
41%
SurveyUSA
Nevada
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 12
1
50%
38%
Rasmussen
Nevada
John Kerry
George Bush
1
48%
51%
Election 2004
New Hampshire
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
1
43%
46%
Rasmussen
New Hampshire
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
46%
44%
SurveyUSA
New Hampshire
John Kerry
George Bush
1
50%
49%
Election 2004
New Jersey
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 27
1
45%
46%
Rasmussen
New Jersey
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 30
7
47%
42%
Fairleigh Dickinson U.
New Jersey
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 27
1
43%
45%
Rasmussen
New Jersey
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
43%
43%
SurveyUSA
New Jersey
John Kerry
George Bush
1
53%
47%
Election 2004
New Mexico
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
44%
50%
SurveyUSA
New Mexico
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 08
1
45%
42%
Rasmussen
New Mexico
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
51%
45%
SurveyUSA
New Mexico
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
50%
43%
SurveyUSA
New Mexico
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 18
2
44%
44%
Rasmussen
New Mexico
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
55%
40%
SurveyUSA
New Mexico
John Kerry
George Bush
1
49%
50%
Election 2004
New York
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 15
2
47%
39%
Quinnipiac U.
New York
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 16
4
45%
40%
Siena Coll.
New York
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
52%
43%
SurveyUSA
New York
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 08
6
46%
48%
Marist Coll.
New York
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 18
3
49%
38%
Quinnipiac U.
New York
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
52%
44%
SurveyUSA
New York
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 11
1
51%
38%
Rasmussen
New York
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
52%
38%
SurveyUSA
New York
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
57%
36%
SurveyUSA
New York
John Kerry
George Bush
1
58%
41%
Election 2004
North Carolina
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 10
1
47%
47%
Rasmussen
North Carolina
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 20
1
42%
51%
Rasmussen
North Carolina
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
45%
47%
SurveyUSA
North Carolina
John Kerry
George Bush
1
44%
56%
Election 2004
North Dakota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 03
11
38%
44%
Dakota Wesleyan U.
North Dakota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
46%
42%
SurveyUSA
North Dakota
John Kerry
George Bush
1
36%
63%
Election 2004
Ohio
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
45%
47%
SurveyUSA
Ohio
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 08
1
40%
47%
Rasmussen
Ohio
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 31
8
43%
42%
Quinnipiac U.
Ohio
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
43%
50%
SurveyUSA
Ohio
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 13
1
40%
46%
Rasmussen
Ohio
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
50%
40%
SurveyUSA
Ohio
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
47%
44%
SurveyUSA
Ohio
John Kerry
George Bush
1
49%
51%
Election 2004
Oklahoma
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
34%
57%
SurveyUSA
Oklahoma
John Kerry
George Bush
1
34%
66%
Election 2004
Oregon
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
51%
42%
SurveyUSA
Oregon
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 26
1
48%
42%
Rasmussen
Oregon
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
50%
41%
SurveyUSA
Oregon
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
49%
41%
SurveyUSA
Oregon
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
48%
47%
SurveyUSA
Oregon
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 13
1
49%
40%
Rasmussen
Oregon
John Kerry
George Bush
1
52%
48%
Election 2004
Pennsylvania
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 24
1
43%
44%
Rasmussen
Pennsylvania
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 09
1
47%
39%
Rasmussen
Pennsylvania
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 31
8
43%
39%
Quinnipiac U.
Pennsylvania
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 10
1
43%
44%
Rasmussen
Pennsylvania
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 10
6
41%
45%
Susquehanna Polling
Pennsylvania
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
42%
47%
SurveyUSA
Pennsylvania
John Kerry
George Bush
1
51%
49%
Election 2004
Rhode Island
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
53%
38%
SurveyUSA
Rhode Island
John Kerry
George Bush
1
60%
39%
Election 2004
South Carolina
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
45%
48%
SurveyUSA
South Carolina
John Kerry
George Bush
1
41%
58%
Election 2004
South Dakota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 03
11
34%
51%
Dakota Wesleyan U.
South Dakota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 04
1
38%
48%
Rasmussen
South Dakota
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
43%
47%
SurveyUSA
South Dakota
John Kerry
George Bush
1
38%
60%
Election 2004
Tennessee
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 03
1
31%
58%
Rasmussen
Tennessee
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
38%
54%
SurveyUSA
Tennessee
John Kerry
George Bush
1
43%
57%
Election 2004
Texas
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
46%
47%
SurveyUSA
Texas
John Kerry
George Bush
1
38%
61%
Election 2004
Utah
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
39%
50%
SurveyUSA
Utah
John Kerry
George Bush
1
26%
71%
Election 2004
Vermont
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
63%
29%
SurveyUSA
Vermont
John Kerry
George Bush
1
59%
39%
Election 2004
Virginia
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
44%
52%
SurveyUSA
Virginia
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 27
1
41%
52%
Rasmussen
Virginia
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
48%
47%
SurveyUSA
Virginia
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
47%
47%
SurveyUSA
Virginia
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 19
1
44%
49%
Rasmussen
Virginia
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
51%
45%
SurveyUSA
Virginia
John Kerry
George Bush
1
45%
54%
Election 2004
Washington
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 16
3
53%
40%
SurveyUSA
Washington
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 27
1
48%
43%
Rasmussen
Washington
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 20
3
45%
39%
Elway Poll
Washington
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
52%
41%
SurveyUSA
Washington
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
1
44%
45%
Rasmussen
Washington
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
52%
38%
SurveyUSA
Washington
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 04
2
55%
38%
SurveyUSA
Washington
John Kerry
George Bush
1
53%
46%
Election 2004
West Virginia
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
35%
53%
SurveyUSA
West Virginia
John Kerry
George Bush
1
43%
56%
Election 2004
Wisconsin
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 13
3
49%
44%
SurveyUSA
Wisconsin
Barack Obama
John McCain
Apr 05
12
46%
42%
St. Norbert Coll.
Wisconsin
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 26
1
46%
48%
Rasmussen
Wisconsin
Barack Obama
John McCain
Mar 16
3
48%
44%
SurveyUSA
Wisconsin
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
51%
40%
SurveyUSA
Wisconsin
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 21
1
44%
43%
Rasmussen
Wisconsin
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 17
3
52%
42%
SurveyUSA
Wisconsin
John Kerry
George Bush
1
50%
49%
Election 2004
Wyoming
Barack Obama
John McCain
Feb 28
3
35%
54%
SurveyUSA
Wyoming
John Kerry
George Bush
1
29%
69%
Election 2004