May 16 absentee ballot for overseas voters

General Election Polls: Who Does Better Against McCain State by State?

Senate map and races
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News: Updated May 16

Both beat McCain ≥ 5%
McCain beats both ≥ 5%
Obama > Clinton by ≥ 5%
Obama > Clinton by < 5%
Clinton > Obama by < 5%
Clinton > Obama by ≥ 5%
In brown states, Obama does better than Clinton against McCain. In pink states Clinton does better.
Sometimes this means: does not lose as badly
But white centers are statistical ties.

Democratic primaries Republican primaries Obama vs. McCain Clinton vs. McCain

News from the Votemaster

Updates may be a bit erratic until Tuesday.

The big political news is still the victory by Democrat Travis Childers in MS-01 Tuesday 54% to 46%, winning 20 of the 24 counties. If Republicans are having trouble winning in R+10 districts even when they throw in everything they have, a lot of them fear disaster in November. Politico, a Republican-friendly Website, had the following stories on the front page yesterday:

Not exactly upbeat. The House GOP caucus has been meeting in what can best be described as crisis mode since Tuesday. The GOP brand is in trouble and nobody knows how to fix it fast. Minority leader John Boehner (R-OH) is known to be very unhappy with NRCC chairman, Tom Cole (R-OK), but firing him would look very bad and besides, who would want to chair the NRCC when it is down by a factor of about 5 or 6 in money and is likely to lose 20 seats? Doesn't look good on your resume. One rumor is that the GOP leadership will try to pressure Cole into resigning and then ask Rep. Tom Davis (R-VA) to take the job. Davis is not running for reelection so a big loss won't hurt his further congressional career.

No new primary polls today but we have two general election polls.

State Clinton McCain Start End Pollster
Iowa 42% 45% May 13 May 13 Rasmussen
Washington 49% 45% May 12 May 12 SurveyUSA
State Obama McCain Start End Pollster
Iowa 44% 42% May 13 May 13 Rasmussen
Washington 54% 42% May 12 May 12 SurveyUSA

The polling results for all primaries and caucuses are available as a Web page and in .csv format.

Obama picked up a few more supers yesterday. His lead over Clinton is now about 175 delegates. A week ago, before the West Virginia primary, it was about 158. So despite Clinton's landslide victory in West Virginia, she is about 18 delegates further behind than she was before her big win. Next week we get Kentucky and Oregon, which are expected to be a wash. Yesterday's posting was about Kentucky. Monday will be on Oregon.


Source Clinton Obama Obama-Clinton
Washington Post 1718 1887 +169
NY Times 1711 1892 +181
AP 1718 1898 +180
CNN 1719 1899 +180
ABC 1713 1894 +181
CBS 1711 1888 +177
MSNBC 1724 1887 +163

Needed to win: 2026

Here is another source for delegate totals.

-- The Votemaster