News from the Votemaster
Gallup took a poll Feb. 9-11 of adults across the country asking: If your party nominated a generally well-qualified person for President who happened to be X, would you vote for that person? Here are the answers for various X.
This poll clearly shows that an elderly thrice-married gay atheist would have a problem, but what else it shows is less clear. One thing that stands out in my mind is that it has become socially unacceptable to say you are bigoted against Catholics, blacks, and Jews. Forty years ago many more people would have openly admitted to such prejudices. Now such admission is taboo. Gallup uses actual human beings to conduct its polls. I would be curious to see what the results would be like if the same poll were conducted by Rasmussen or SurveyUSA, which use robopolling. My suspicion is that people are hesitant to tell an actual person that they would never vote for, say, a black person, but would be less hesitant to push the 2 button on their telephone when they know it is just a computer on the other end. After all, the pollster might blurt out "You're a disgusting piece of slime, but let's get on with the next question." Computers, bless their sandy little hearts, would never do that.
Here is another batch of polls for what they are worth (not much at this stage). In just a month, John McCain has fallen substantially. It's tough being a front runner. On the other hand, when the mud starts flying, Rudy Giuliani is going to be on the receiving end of a lot of it for his marriage and annullment to his second cousin, marriage and divorce to wife #2, and his third marriage. Then there are his liberal views on the hot-button social issues, his appointment of large numbers of Democrats to municipal judge positions, his dealings with Bernie Kerik, to mention just a few items. It is surprising these subjects haven't gotten more press yet. A lot of mud will be aimed to Hillary, too, of course (her failed health plan, travelgate, Whitewater, Monica), but all of that is so well known that it will have far less impact than revelations like-- What, he married his cousin??? Is he from [insert name of state thought to be full of hillbillies].
This page is the prototype for 2008. The data and map will refer to previous elections until serious polls begin in 2008. The blog will be updated when there is interesting news about the 2008 races.Preview of the 2008 races: President Senate House
This map shows the current governors. Put your mouse on a state for more information.
This map shows the current Senate. Put your mouse on a state for more information.
This map shows the current House. Put your mouse on a state for more information.
-- The Votemaster