Gallup took a poll Feb. 9-11 of adults across the country asking:
If your party nominated a generally well-qualified person for President who
happened to be X, would you vote for that person? Here are the answers for
various X.
Category
Yes
No
Unsure
Catholic
95
4
1
Black
94
5
1
Jewish
92
7
2
Female
88
11
1
Hispanic
87
12
1
Mormon
72
24
4
Married 3 times
67
30
3
72 years old
57
42
1
Homosexual
55
43
2
Atheist
45
53
3
This poll clearly shows that an elderly thrice-married gay atheist would
have a problem, but what else it shows is less clear. One thing that stands
out in my mind is that it has become socially unacceptable to say you are
bigoted against Catholics, blacks, and Jews. Forty years ago many more
people would have openly admitted to such prejudices. Now such admission is
taboo. Gallup uses actual human beings to conduct its polls. I would be
curious to see what the results would be like if the same poll were conducted
by Rasmussen or SurveyUSA, which use robopolling. My suspicion is that
people are hesitant to tell an actual person that they would never vote for,
say, a black person, but would be less hesitant to push the 2 button on
their telephone when they know it is just a computer on the other end.
After all, the pollster might blurt out "You're a disgusting piece of slime,
but let's get on with the next question." Computers, bless their sandy little hearts,
would never do that.
Here is another batch of polls for what they are worth (not much at this stage).
In just a month, John McCain has fallen substantially. It's tough being a front runner.
On the other hand, when the mud starts flying, Rudy Giuliani is going to be on the
receiving end of a lot of it for his marriage and annullment to his second cousin,
marriage and divorce to wife #2, and his third marriage. Then there are his liberal
views on the hot-button social issues, his appointment of large numbers of Democrats to municipal
judge positions, his dealings with Bernie Kerik, to mention just a few items. It is
surprising these subjects haven't gotten more press yet. A lot of mud will be aimed
to Hillary, too, of course (her failed health plan, travelgate, Whitewater, Monica),
but all of that is so well known that it will have far less impact than revelations like--
What, he married his cousin??? Is he from [insert name of state thought to be full of hillbillies].
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Edwards
Obama
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Alabama
ARG
Feb 13
44%
11%
13%
31%
19%
3%
Arizona
ARG
Feb 13
33%
13%
24%
21%
45%
2%
California
ARG
17-Jan
36%
6%
33%
33%
18%
3%
Connecticut
Quinnipiac U
Feb 12
33%
5%
21%
43%
27%
4%
Florida
Quinnipiac U
Feb 4
49%
7%
13%
29%
23%
6%
Illinois
ARG
Jan 14
30%
5%
36%
33%
24%
12%
Iowa
Zogby
Feb 9/Jan 16
24%
24%
18%
19%
17%
5%
Maine
ARG
Feb 6
41%
14%
17%
33%
22%
13%
Massachusetts
ARG
Feb 6
35%
19%
24%
22%
20%
38%
Michigan
EPIC/MRA
Feb 4
49%
8%
20%
32%
28%
8%
Missouri
ARG
Jan 9
30%
18%
17%
18%
31%
2%
New Hampshire
Zogby/UNH
Feb 8/Feb 5
27%
13%
23%
27%
28%
13%
New Jersey
Quinnipiac U
Jan 22
30%
8%
16%
39%
21%
5%
New Mexico
ARG
Jan 13
22%
12%
17%
38%
20%
7%
New York
Quinnipiac U
Feb 11
47%
7%
16%
51%
17%
1%
North Carolina
ARG
Jan 15
26%
30%
19%
34%
26%
2%
Ohio
Quinnipiac U
Jan 28
38%
11%
13%
30%
22%
4%
Oklahoma
ARG
Feb 13
40%
16%
15%
37%
21%
2%
Pennsylvania
Quinnipiac U
Feb 5
37%
11%
11%
30%
20%
4%
Rhode Island
Brown U
Jan 27
33%
15%
8%
Utah
ARG
Feb 13
31%
9%
18%
13%
21%
40%
Vermont
ARG
Feb 6
37%
14%
19%
29%
30%
7%
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