Jun. 19 absentee ballot for overseas voters

Kerry 252   Bush 286  
Senate: Dem 51   GOP 49  
House: Dem 233   GOP 202  

Senate map with polls
Downloadable polling data
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strong Dem Strong Dem (146)
weak Dem Weak Dem (37)
barely Dem Barely Dem (69)
tied Exactly tied (0)
barely GOP Barely GOP (37)
weak GOP Weak GOP (66)
strong GOP Strong GOP (183)
  Map algorithm explained
Presidential polls today: (None) RSS
Dem pickups (vs. 2004): (None)  
GOP pickups (vs. 2004): (None)  

News from the Votemaster

Mayor Mike Bloomberg announced today that his leaving the Republican party to become an independent. Prior to his 2001 run for mayor of New York City, he was a lifelong Democrat. This move has encouraged speculation that Bloomberg is planning to run for President as an independent.

I discussed such a run on May 16. Those considerations are still valid. Added to the mix now are some actual data about who a Bloomberg candidacy would hurt most. Survey USA polling suggests Bloomberg would attract both Democrats and Republicans, but sightly more Republicans than Democrats. This polling data also suggests Bloomberg comes nowhere near enough votes to actually win any electoral votes, but don't underestimate the effect of Mayor Mike's spending $500 million of his own fortune (estimated at more than $5 billion) on the race. The data and a discusion of it can be found at MyDD. For what this very early data is worth, a Bloomberg run would change the outcome of two states, Missouri and Washington, flipping both from Republican to Democratic. But don't take this very seriously just yet.

The Wyoming Republican party has chosen three nominees to replace the late Sen. Craig Thomas. Gov. Dave Freudenthal (D) gets five days to pick one of them. Here is the story from CQ Politics.

This page is the prototype for 2008. The data and map will refer to previous elections until serious polls begin in 2008. The blog will be updated when there is interesting news about the 2008 races.

Preview of the 2008 races:           President       Senate       House      

This map shows the current governors. Put your mouse on a state for more information.

This map shows the current Senate. Put your mouse on a state for more information.

This map shows the current House. Put your mouse on a state for more information.

-- The Votemaster
WWW www.electoral-vote.com

absentee ballot for overseas voter