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Projected New Senate:     50 Democrats     50 Republicans    

Polling data in Excel
Battleground states
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strong Dem Strong Dem (43)
weak Dem Weak Dem (3)
barely Dem Barely Dem (4)
tied Exactly tied (0)
barely GOP Barely GOP (1)
weak GOP Weak GOP (2)
strong GOP Strong GOP (47)
No Senate race No Senate race
  Map algorithm explained
Sep. 24 New polls: (None) RSS
  Pickups: Missouri Montana New Jersey Ohio Pennsylvania Rhode Island Tennessee

News from the Votemaster

Only one poll today, in House race NM-01. Incumbent Heather Wilson (R-NM-01) is in the fight of her life against New Mexico attorney general Patricia Madrid. This race has received a lot of national attention and is typical of races with a reasonably popular Republican incumbent who is swimming against the national tide. According to SurveyUSA, Wilson is leading 51% to 46% but race like this can change in an eyeblink.

Starting tomorrow, I am going to be covering the House more closely.

With a seemingly endless series of troublesome reports from experts in electronic voting such as Prof. Edward Felten of Princeton University and Prof. Prof Avi Rubin of Johns Hopkins University say that electronic voting is easy to tampering with, more and more states are getting the word that voting without a verifiable paper trail is a terrible idea. Today's NY Times reports on a number of states going back to paper ballots . The blind introduction of an untested technology that the experts knew from day 1 could be hacked seems like government stupidity at its worst. Politicians see a problem, in this case, pregnant chads in Florida in 2000, and they rush out to "solve" it, often introducing something that is worse than what they had before. At least with the pregnant chads, chad experts can carefully examine each chad to determine how pregnant it is. With electronic voting, there is no way to tell if the machine has been hacked.

Projected New House*:     216 Democrats     219 Republicans
* Where no independent polls exist, the 2004 election results have been used. See complete House polls.
Senate election, House election, election 2006 Senate election, House election, election 2006 Senate election, House election, election 2006 Senate election, House election, election 2006 See the details of the Senate and House races with photos, maps, links, polls, etc.
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