State,Kerry,Bush,Win,American Res,,,Gallup,,,Mason-Dixon,,,Quinnipiac,,,Rasmussen,,,Strategic Vision,,,Survey USA,,,Zogby,, Alabama,37,63,B,40,54,B,,,,,,,,,,42,53,B,,,,39,57,B,,, Alaska,34,62,B,30,57,B,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, Arizona,44,55,B,43,49,B,,,,39,50,B,,,,45,50,B,,,,41,56,B,47,50,B Arkansas,45,54,B,45,48,B,,,,43,51,B,,,,45,51,B,,,,46,51,B,48,50,B California,54,45,K,52,41,K,,,,,,,,,,53,43,K,50,41,K,54,43,K,,, Colorado,46,53,B,45,46,B,47,49,B,43,50,B,,,,45,50,B,,,,47,50,B,47,49,B Connecticut,54,44,K,54,39,K,,,,,,,47,38,K,,,,,,,,,,,, Delaware,53,46,K,78,11,K,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, D.C.,90,9,K,50,41,K,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, Florida,47,52,B,50,48,K,49,45,K,45,49,B,43,51,B,47,50,B,46,50,B,48,49,B,48,48,B Georgia,41,59,B,42,53,B,,,,,,,,,,39,54,B,41,55,B,43,55,B,42,52,B Hawaii,55,44,K,51,41,K,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, Idaho,29,69,B,30,59,B,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, Illinois,55,44,K,49,43,K,,,,,,,,,,51,43,K,,,,54,42,K,,, Indiana,39,60,B,39,54,B,,,,,,,,,,40,53,B,,,,39,58,B,,, Iowa,49,50,B,47,48,B,45,47,B,43,49,B,,,,48,48,B,46,49,B,50,47,K,50,45,K Kansas,36,63,B,35,57,B,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,37,60,B,,, Kentucky,40,60,B,39,57,B,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,38,59,B,,, Louisiana,42,57,B,42,50,B,,,,,,,,,,44,52,B,,,,,,,,, Maine,53,45,K,48,44,K,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,52,44,K,50,39,K Maryland,56,43,K,52,43,K,,,,,,,,,,52,44,K,,,,54,43,K,,, Massachusetts,62,37,K,64,27,K,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, Michigan,51,48,K,48,40,K,50,44,K,47,45,K,,,,50,46,K,47,47,B,50,47,K,52,46,K Minnesota,52,47,K,47,45,K,51,43,K,47,48,B,,,,48,47,K,47,49,B,,,,51,45,K Mississippi,40,60,B,42,51,B,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, Missouri,46,54,B,44,50,B,41,55,B,44,49,B,,,,45,50,B,,,,45,52,B,48,51,B Montana,39,59,B,32,60,B,,,,36,57,B,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, Nebraska,32,67,B,30,61,B,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, Nevada,48,51,B,45,47,B,46,48,B,44,50,B,,,,47,49,B,,,,45,53,B,45,50,B New Hampshire,50,49,K,48,49,B,,,,47,46,K,,,,49,47,K,,,,,,,51,46,K New Jersey,53,46,K,50,42,K,,,,,,,48,43,K,53,41,K,42,42,T,54,42,K,,, New Mexico,49,50,B,48,47,K,46,47,B,45,49,B,,,,44,48,B,,,,,,,51,48,K New York,58,40,K,52,40,K,,,,,,,47,41,K,54,37,K,,,,57,39,K,,, North Carolina,43,57,B,44,49,B,41,56,B,43,52,B,,,,43,53,B,,,,45,53,B,47,51,B North Dakota,36,63,B,33,62,B,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, Ohio,49,51,B,49,47,K,51,44,K,45,48,B,,,,46,50,B,46,48,B,47,49,B,43,49,B Oklahoma,34,66,B,38,55,B,,,,,,,,,,30,64,B,,,,34,64,B,,, Oregon,53,47,K,50,46,K,52,45,K,50,44,K,,,,53,46,K,,,,50,47,K,56,43,K Pennsylvania,51,49,K,50,47,K,49,47,K,48,46,K,47,47,B,49,47,K,47,46,K,49,48,K,50,46,K Rhode Island,60,39,K,58,30,K,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,54,41,K,,, South Carolina,41,58,B,40,52,B,,,,40,53,B,,,,41,55,B,,,,43,54,B,,, South Dakota,38,61,B,39,58,B,,,,36,55,B,,,,42,52,B,,,,,,,29,57,B Tennessee,43,57,B,43,50,B,,,,41,53,B,,,,43,49,B,,,,40,58,B,48,50,B Texas,38,61,B,36,58,B,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,37,59,B,,, Utah,26,72,B,27,64,B,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, Vermont,59,39,K,50,40,K,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, Virginia,46,54,B,43,49,B,,,,44,50,B,,,,45,50,B,,,,47,51,B,47,50,B Washington,53,46,K,51,44,K,52,44,K,50,45,K,,,,53,44,K,51,45,K,51,47,K,54,44,K West Virginia,43,56,B,46,46,B,42,51,B,43,51,B,,,,44,50,B,,,,,,,46,49,B Wisconsin,50,49,K,48,47,K,45,49,B,48,46,K,,,,48,46,K,46,48,B,,,,51,44,K Wyoming,29,69,B,29,65,B,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, Percent correct,,,,92,,,80,,,96,,,80,,,100,,,64,,,97,,,91,, ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, Columns B and C are the actual tallied votes. Column D indicates who won the state. The next 24 columns ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, "are the resuts of eight pollsters, three columns per pollster. The first of the three columns is the predicted ",,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, "Kerry vote, next is the predicted Bush vote and finally the predicted winner. Where the predicted winner ",,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, "differs from the actual winner, the cell has a gray background. For each pollster, the percentage of states ",,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, predicted correctly is given at the bottom.,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,