State-by-State Margins Oct. 16


The numbers in the table tell who is leading and by how much. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the lead will be shown as 3%. When this lead is 5% or less, the race is essentially a tie.

Strong Kerry (≥10%)
D.C. 67%
New York 23%
Rhode Island 20%
Illinois 16%
Maryland 15%
Massachusetts 14%
Vermont 13%
Hawaii 10%
Weak Kerry (5-9%)
Connecticut 9%
Michigan 8%
California 8%
Delaware 7%
Washington 5%
Oregon 5%
Barely Kerry (<5%)
New Jersey 2%
Minnesota 2%
Maine 2%
Pennsylvania 1%
Nevada 1%
Strong Bush (≥10%)
Utah 37%
Wyoming 36%
Oklahoma 34%
Nebraska 31%
North Dakota 29%
Idaho 29%
Alaska 27%
Alabama 24%
Texas 23%
Montana 21%
Tennessee 19%
Kentucky 19%
Kansas 19%
South Carolina 13%
Indiana 13%
South Dakota 10%
Georgia 10%
Weak Bush (5-9%)
Mississippi 9%
Ohio 8%
Louisiana 8%
Colorado 8%
North Carolina 7%
West Virginia 6%
Wisconsin 5%
Arizona 5%
Barely Bush (<5%)
Virginia 3%
Missouri 2%
New Mexico 1%
Arkansas 1%
States that are exactly tied: Florida Iowa New Hampshire
Back to the main page Previous report

If you like this website, please link to it to improve its Google PageRank and tell your friends about it.


www.overseasvoter.com